inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 99 Excitement9.2 [96] MVPVoshon Lenard (DEN): +24.1%
Denver Nuggets 96 Comeback1.5 [648] LVPZendon Hamilton (DEN): -38.3%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elden Campbell0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.190.060.12-0.01873%0.231-0.046100%0.09
Matt Bullard0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.08-0.02974%0.201-0.0410%-0.02
Jamaal Magloire0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03-0.040.06-0.00440%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Stacey Augmon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.03-0.00450%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Bryce Drew0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00260%0.0100.001100%0.01
David Wesley0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.020.011146%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Jerome Moiso-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.011944%-0.051-0.03757%-0.03
P.J. Brown-0.140,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01,-0.140.07-0.190.011267%0.011-0.15367%-0.02
Baron Davis-0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26-0.19-0.09-0.021724%-0.212-0.05367%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.080.160.006100%0.302-0.0600%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.020.02-0.070.07-0.032237%0.0200.00475%0.01
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01-0.010.14-0.120.031472%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001658%0.085-0.136100%0.04
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01633%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Shawnelle Scott0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00633%-0.033-0.0900%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.12-0.120.02-0.14-0.00950%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.38-0.38-0.06-0.330.00312%-0.3800.00250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.426.615.524.31.730.2127.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +56.5%
CHH +8.1%
DEN -1.1%
DEN -16.8%
CHH +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHDENNBACHHDENNBA
this game15.815.915.6110.0104.3102.3
season15.916.1102.299.7
opponent15.215.6105.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.816.016.116.315.8
DEN13.416.716.617.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stacey Augmon28300.71-0.210.930.3612-92116.015.60.3917.515.12.35
Matt Bullard41440.56-0.060.630.2112-92116.215.40.7417.314.62.76
Jamaal Magloire24250.54-0.040.580.4530316.615.51.1715.316.1-0.82
Bryce Drew19210.340.160.180.089-61516.015.70.3017.915.32.62
P.J. Brown72720.320.180.140.44-47-1115.716.0-0.2915.417.5-2.13
David Wesley66670.200.30-0.100.38-69-1515.516.6-1.1715.117.8-2.69
Baron Davis74750.150.35-0.210.35-710-1716.014.91.0815.218.8-3.61
Jerome Moiso880.100.40-0.29-0.045-2713.216.0-2.7618.115.72.46
Elden Campbell6667-0.040.54-0.58-0.0403-315.516.6-1.1716.115.30.82
Lee Nailon5251-0.390.89-1.28-0.13-912-2115.815.70.1015.116.8-1.71

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Bowen3840-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-3315.516.1-0.6015.316.1-0.75
Calbert Cheaney87-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-2114.216.0-1.7915.915.80.10
Scott Williams3735-0.12-0.380.270.00-41-516.715.31.3316.715.11.60
Shawnelle Scott3334-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-30-314.916.4-1.5115.815.70.09
Avery Johnson1718-0.16-0.340.180.02-63-915.316.0-0.7214.716.0-1.31
Zendon Hamilton2826-0.18-0.320.14-0.335-81315.516.1-0.6015.415.9-0.54
James Posey5959-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-52-716.215.20.9915.815.8-0.01
Nick Van Exel8481-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.444-71115.618.6-3.0115.815.60.23
George McCloud4643-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.36-2-1-116.515.31.1516.115.40.71
Raef LaFrentz7472-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.451-4515.716.6-0.9115.517.0-1.54
Voshon Lenard3635-0.47-0.04-0.43-0.35-41-516.915.21.7516.115.50.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.16,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.12,0.41,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 86, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.1,0.23,0.26,091.9%
BKN 95, CHI 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.24,0.15,091.2%
DAL 113, HOU 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.16,091.1%