NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	71		Excitement	3.1 [1126]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +12.6%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	1.0 [1235]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -8.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ike Austin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	38%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.11	0.01	-0.10	11	46%	0.04	4	-0.05	6	50%	-0.01
Will Solomon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.05
Jason Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	11	32%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	-0.11	12	17%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.01	0.06	10	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.01	0.06	14	76%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	7	59%	0.03	4	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	2	0%	0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	68%	0.06	6	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	29.1	16.4	22.5	2.3	25.3	122.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.2%

ORL +7.3%

ORL +4.7%

MEM -5.3%

ORL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.0	15.6	75.5	118.9	102.3
season	15.7	14.6		96.0	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.2		103.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	15.9	15.4	17.8	16.5
ORL	15.6	11.8	13.4	15.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.21	-7	-35	28	17.6	16.0	1.67	14.5	13.8	0.73
Tony Massenburg	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-33	24	17.9	16.1	1.76	15.7	13.6	2.08
Grant Long	20	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.37	-13	-29	16	16.7	16.4	0.36	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Ike Austin	17	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-42	42	14.2	17.0	-2.80	12.4	14.4	-1.98
Stromile Swift	53	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.66	-27	-15	-12	16.1	17.0	-0.86	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-30	18	16.3	16.6	-0.31	14.3	13.9	0.41
Brevin Knight	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.44	-25	-17	-8	16.2	16.7	-0.51	12.0	15.5	-3.40
Shane Battier	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.36	-27	-15	-12	16.7	16.0	0.67	14.1	13.8	0.27
Pau Gasol	63	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.62	-36	-6	-30	17.2	15.1	2.09	14.0	14.0	0.08
Rodney Buford	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.32	-26	-16	-10	16.1	17.3	-1.22	14.1	13.7	0.43
Jason Williams	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.36	-28	-14	-14	16.2	17.3	-1.11	14.7	12.4	2.25

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	62	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.22	24	18	6	13.8	14.4	-0.62	15.8	18.0	-2.20
Tracy McGrady	60	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.45	31	11	20	13.8	14.5	-0.69	17.1	15.4	1.66
Horace Grant	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.39	27	15	12	13.7	14.3	-0.59	17.3	15.5	1.84
Mike Miller	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.45	27	15	12	14.3	13.5	0.80	16.7	16.0	0.70
Pat Garrity	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.64	33	9	24	13.0	15.1	-2.07	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Jud Buechler	42	41	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.34	17	25	-8	14.0	14.1	-0.08	15.8	17.0	-1.26
Troy Hudson	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.48	21	21	0	13.6	14.4	-0.76	16.6	16.4	0.19
Patrick Ewing	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	38	-34	13.7	14.1	-0.38	14.0	17.5	-3.46
Steven Hunter	37	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	36	-30	14.9	13.5	1.38	17.2	16.0	1.23
Don Reid	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	31	-20	15.8	13.5	2.28	17.8	16.1	1.67
Andrew DeClercq	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	33	-24	15.7	13.6	2.08	17.9	16.1	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 73, SEA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 73, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CHA 96, NYK 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%