NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	9.3 [87]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +15.5%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	7.0 [89]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -23.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	10	76%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Scot Pollard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	14	79%	0.03
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	7	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	20	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jabari Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	11	36%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	5	-0.26	4	100%	0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	23	64%	0.23	3	-0.07	13	92%	0.10
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	12	56%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	59%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	10	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	11	40%	-0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	8	44%	-0.12	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	29.5	16.7	27.2	1.8	34.2	2.6	19.2	157.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.3%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +7.5%

SAS -5.6%

SAC +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.6	104.8	101.9	102.3
season	14.2	15.8		106.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	16.3	16.4	15.9	12.7	10.3	14.8
SAS	13.7	14.9	16.1	18.3	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	77	76	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.56	8	-5	13	15.1	13.9	1.16	15.2	17.4	-2.24
Vlade Divac	91	89	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.52	7	-4	11	15.2	11.8	3.36	16.0	14.5	1.47
Hedo Turkoglu	61	63	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-7	17	13.9	16.0	-2.11	16.3	15.0	1.34
Bobby Jackson	62	63	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	13.7	16.4	-2.63	16.3	15.0	1.34
Mike Bibby	74	76	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	1	1	15.1	14.0	1.06	16.0	15.3	0.64
Scot Pollard	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.7	0.44	18.8	14.8	3.96
Jabari Smith	12	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.14	-3	6	-9	12.7	15.1	-2.30	15.9	15.8	0.15
Doug Christie	51	51	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.04	-10	13	-23	15.8	13.8	1.92	14.2	17.3	-3.12
Lawrence Funderburke	56	53	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	11	-19	15.8	13.6	2.12	14.8	16.8	-1.95

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	13	14	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	21.7	14.9	6.75	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Cherokee Parks	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	15.4	15.8	-0.43	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Malik Rose	65	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	16.2	15.0	1.22	13.5	16.8	-3.31
David Robinson	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	15.4	16.1	-0.69	15.9	13.8	2.06
Tony Parker	64	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	15.9	15.6	0.23	15.3	14.0	1.38
Steven Smith	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	13.7	18.0	-4.26	15.0	14.6	0.38
Terry Porter	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-4	5	15.5	16.1	-0.63	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Bruce Bowen	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.18	-5	2	-7	15.8	15.8	0.05	16.4	12.4	4.00
Tim Duncan	94	95	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-3	3	15.6	17.6	-2.00	15.0	12.4	2.57
Antonio Daniels	60	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	0	-3	16.7	14.6	2.12	13.6	16.4	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.43,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0	90.8%
SAC 111, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.17,0.26,0	90.3%
LAC 123, PHX 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.66,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.28,0	88.4%