NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	123		Excitement	10.8 [57]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +20.5%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	18.3 [173]		LVP	De'Anthony Melton (PHX): -15.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.13	0.01	12	67%	0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	19	70%	0.43	4	-0.26	9	100%	0.09
Danilo Gallinari	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.05	0.05	12	69%	0.18	1	-0.04	12	92%	0.08
Lou Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,0.04	-0.06	0.09	-0.01	7	35%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.07
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.10	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Montrezl Harrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.07	5	20%	-0.06
Tyrone Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.09	0.01	12	70%	0.25	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	9	76%	0.31	2	-0.14	7	71%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.16	-0.00	9	56%	0.24	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	14	62%	0.12	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	-0.00	15	60%	0.10	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.12	-0.01	8	63%	0.15	2	-0.22	3	100%	0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	16	37%	-0.04	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	29.6	12.8	26.5	2.6	38.0	2.5	15.2	153.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -23.0%

LAC +31.8%

LAC +28.7%

LAC +10.7%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	14.3	111.8	112.3	109.3
season	13.9	14.4		111.3	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.1		114.0	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	14.3	14.2	15.2	14.8	15.5	14.7
PHX	14.0	14.0	15.5	16.6	13.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	75	73	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.63	5	-1	6	15.3	13.5	1.80	14.8	14.7	0.10
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	68	65	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.57	7	-3	10	15.0	14.1	0.87	15.1	14.2	0.85
Danilo Gallinari	74	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	1	2	15.3	13.5	1.76	15.0	14.2	0.87
Tobias Harris	84	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.55	-3	7	-10	15.1	13.3	1.75	14.9	14.3	0.66
Patrick Beverley	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	-1	6	14.6	14.8	-0.22	14.9	14.6	0.29
Lou Williams	25	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	-5	14	13.5	15.0	-1.56	15.3	14.6	0.68
Mike Scott	31	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.16	5	-1	6	13.5	15.1	-1.62	14.6	14.8	-0.17
Milos Teodosic	28	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	-1	6	13.0	15.3	-2.30	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Sindarius Thornwell	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	6	-8	0.0	14.8	-14.82	7.0	14.8	-7.84
Boban Marjanovic	36	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	9	-14	15.1	14.5	0.60	13.0	15.6	-2.55
Tyrone Wallace	9	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	7	-10	14.0	14.7	-0.74	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Montrezl Harrell	49	46	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.15	-6	10	-16	14.3	15.0	-0.60	15.4	14.3	1.11

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Jackson	61	65	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.25	7	-11	18	15.2	14.2	0.94	14.6	14.8	-0.12
Richaun Holmes	47	54	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.14	7	-11	18	15.5	14.2	1.30	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Elie Okobo	44	47	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.24	3	-7	10	15.7	14.1	1.69	13.8	15.3	-1.52
T.J. Warren	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	4	-12	13.8	15.1	-1.26	15.7	14.4	1.29
De'Anthony Melton	73	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-8	12	14.2	16.0	-1.79	15.3	13.3	1.96
Troy Daniels	65	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	6	-16	14.8	14.6	0.21	13.9	15.9	-1.94
Mikal Bridges	77	80	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.54	-7	3	-10	14.7	15.0	-0.32	14.9	14.1	0.85
Trevor Ariza	79	81	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.66	-5	1	-6	14.7	14.8	-0.07	14.7	14.5	0.22
Deandre Ayton	59	56	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.52	-11	7	-18	14.2	15.5	-1.30	15.2	14.1	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.66,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0	90.0%
POR 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.27,0	89.6%
SAC 111, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.17,0.26,0	88.6%