NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	6.3 [548]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +18.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	100		Comeback	1.0 [1018]		LVP	Danny Fortson (GSW): -17.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	10	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	10	45%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	20	38%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	22	67%	0.26	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	8	68%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Antonio Harvey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	55%	-0.01	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	42.6	2.5	29.2	12.8	26.1	1.8	34.0	148.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.7%

SEA +3.7%

GSW -23.5%

SEA +17.2%

SEA +12.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.6	98.9	109.9	102.3
season	14.7	16.0		100.7	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.1		103.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.8	12.3	15.5	16.1	15.3
SEA	15.0	14.9	18.0	17.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	43	41	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-13	17	14.4	16.0	-1.54	16.7	15.9	0.80
Troy Murphy	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-12	15	14.7	15.5	-0.85	16.6	16.1	0.50
Danny Fortson	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	0	-9	16.0	14.7	1.24	15.7	16.6	-0.83
Adonal Foyle	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-9	9	15.4	15.2	0.22	16.7	15.9	0.77
Jason Richardson	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	15.3	15.2	0.10	16.1	16.4	-0.38
Mookie Blaylock	44	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-10	11	14.9	15.6	-0.67	16.5	16.0	0.51
Larry Hughes	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	15.6	14.9	0.67	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Bob Sura	39	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	15.2	15.3	-0.10	16.4	16.1	0.38
Chris Mills	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	15.7	14.6	1.11	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Antawn Jamison	81	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	9	-27	15.2	15.8	-0.63	16.0	17.8	-1.86

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	79	81	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.11	20	-11	31	16.0	17.8	-1.86	15.3	14.7	0.61
Rashard Lewis	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-5	19	16.1	17.0	-0.90	15.8	11.6	4.23
Gary Payton	82	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-4	17	16.4	14.8	1.60	15.6	12.5	3.10
Earl Watson	48	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	10	-11	16.6	15.8	0.86	15.1	15.5	-0.37
Brent Barry	74	74	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	8	-7	16.1	16.8	-0.67	15.0	16.2	-1.13
Antonio Harvey	18	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	4	1	15.2	16.5	-1.31	17.1	14.9	2.18
Jerome James	18	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	5	-1	18.9	15.6	3.33	15.3	15.2	0.05
Art Long	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	16	-23	16.1	16.4	-0.30	14.3	16.2	-1.87
Vladimir Radmanovic	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	13	-17	14.8	16.4	-1.60	12.2	15.8	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.84,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 104, CHH 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.95,1	93.8%
MIN 86, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	93.7%
PHI 91, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.98,1	93.3%