NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Excitement	12.4 [12]		MVP	Al Harrington (IND): +20.8%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	9.1 [162]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): -35.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.00	11	79%	0.21	3	-0.17	6	100%	0.05
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	8	68%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.21
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.07	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Peeler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.44,-0.44,-0.34,-0.34,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23	-0.04	-0.19	0.01	16	60%	0.07	5	-0.30	8	75%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.31,-0.23,-0.34,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	23	42%	-0.25	3	-0.11	7	86%	0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	14	78%	0.31	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	1	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	15	56%	0.19	4	-0.24	11	91%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.09	-0.05	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.14	0.01	27	53%	-0.03	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	5	29%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	16	32%	-0.21	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	30.0	1.6	27.5	16.6	28.2	2.6	34.3	2.3	20.4	2.4	14.2	180.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +24.4%

IND -1.8%

MIN +55.1%

IND -24.0%

IND -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	17.0	15.6	109.1	105.6	102.3
season	15.0	15.3		106.7	101.6
opponent	15.4	16.1		100.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.2	15.8	14.6	15.7	17.1	15.3
IND	15.2	20.2	16.7	17.8	12.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	23	22	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.59	11	-4	15	14.0	15.4	-1.38	17.5	16.8	0.68
Wally Szczerbiak	83	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	-2	11	15.8	13.1	2.63	16.8	17.6	-0.79
Joe Smith	97	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-1	9	15.5	12.2	3.38	17.2	15.3	1.88
Terrell Brandon	88	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-5	17	15.4	14.0	1.42	16.7	18.1	-1.48
Kevin Garnett	97	94	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	7	-7	15.2	14.8	0.42	16.4	21.0	-4.60
Anthony Peeler	33	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	8	-9	13.7	15.8	-2.06	17.4	16.8	0.68
Chauncey Billups	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	12	-17	14.0	15.4	-1.42	18.1	16.7	1.48
Gary Trent	53	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.36	12	-5	17	14.9	15.3	-0.37	17.2	16.7	0.56
Loren Woods	2	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	9	-11	14.5	15.1	-0.65	12.5	17.0	-4.55
Sam Mitchell	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	10	-13	14.3	15.2	-0.90	20.5	16.5	3.98
Rasho Nesterovic	40	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	13	-19	15.0	15.2	-0.14	16.2	17.4	-1.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	60	62	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.21	13	-20	33	17.8	15.9	1.98	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Travis Best	8	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	16.0	17.0	-1.04	12.0	15.3	-3.35
Austin Croshere	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-7	7	20.7	16.3	4.45	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Jamaal Tinsley	91	96	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-5	3	16.9	17.4	-0.48	15.5	12.9	2.61
Jonathan Bender	40	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-7	7	18.3	16.2	2.14	15.3	15.1	0.21
Primoz Brezec	48	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	16.2	17.6	-1.41	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Carlos Rogers	16	16	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	3	-13	16.4	17.1	-0.69	15.6	15.1	0.50
Jalen Rose	85	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	0	-7	16.7	17.8	-1.08	15.3	14.6	0.70
Jeff Foster	84	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.11	-18	11	-29	16.7	17.7	-0.99	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Reggie Miller	78	79	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	3	-13	16.6	17.9	-1.33	15.3	14.6	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.39,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.17,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 135, MEM 132	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.08,0	87.2%
ORL 136, MIA 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.53,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.84,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.67,0.96,0.54,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.08,0	85.1%
CHH 91, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.9,0	85.0%