NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	95		Excitement	6.6 [476]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +6.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.7 [983]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -15.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	11	70%	0.08	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Mike Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	11	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	10	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	18	45%	-0.10	1	-0.04	13	62%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	70%	0.12	4	-0.06	14	86%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Crispin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	30	51%	0.04	4	-0.08	14	43%	-0.12
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	28.6	16.0	32.5	2.6	36.4	147.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.6%

ORL -12.2%

LAL +23.1%

ORL -1.6%

ORL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.5	15.6	95.0	111.3	102.3
season	14.6	15.3		104.6	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.8		99.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.1	16.2	11.7	14.6	13.8
LAL	14.6	16.5	16.6	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-15	17	12.1	14.3	-2.23	16.7	15.1	1.66
Steven Hunter	37	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-11	9	13.1	14.2	-1.07	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Bo Outlaw	16	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-7	1	13.5	13.8	-0.33	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Andrew DeClercq	12	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-6	-1	13.2	13.9	-0.60	15.3	15.5	-0.18
Troy Hudson	27	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	13.7	13.8	-0.10	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Grant Hill	82	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-10	7	13.9	13.4	0.41	15.7	14.5	1.26
Horace Grant	57	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-7	1	14.5	12.8	1.65	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Mike Miller	59	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-7	1	13.7	13.9	-0.12	15.9	14.8	1.11
Darrell Armstrong	60	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	14.0	13.4	0.63	15.4	15.6	-0.28
Pat Garrity	42	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.6	13.2	1.36	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Tracy McGrady	84	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	13.6	14.6	-1.01	15.6	14.9	0.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-6	25	15.4	15.9	-0.49	13.9	13.5	0.40
Devean George	57	57	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-2	17	15.6	15.2	0.40	14.9	12.3	2.51
Robert Horry	70	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-2	17	15.7	14.8	0.93	14.3	12.7	1.61
Shaquille O'Neal	85	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	1	11	15.4	16.2	-0.87	14.0	12.2	1.82
Kobe Bryant	68	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	7	-1	15.0	16.5	-1.47	13.8	13.6	0.21
Rick Fox	48	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	5	3	15.5	15.4	0.11	13.3	14.3	-0.99
Samaki Walker	32	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	9	-5	15.1	15.7	-0.58	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Jelani McCoy	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	19.5	15.4	4.10	8.3	13.9	-5.62
Slava Medvedenko	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	13.0	15.6	-2.59	10.2	14.0	-3.77
Joe Crispin	4	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	17	-21	13.0	15.6	-2.59	10.2	14.0	-3.84
Brian Shaw	24	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	17	-21	17.2	14.9	2.24	13.4	13.9	-0.45
Mitch Richmond	16	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	16	-19	15.6	15.5	0.09	12.0	14.2	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NOH 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.2%
DET 81, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%