NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	4.2 [972]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +7.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.0 [856]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -23.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
John Amaechi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	5	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.06	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	8	-0.21	4	100%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	16	72%	0.15	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	15	62%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Erick Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	71%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	73%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	11	58%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	27.6	15.7	29.3	2.5	29.5	129.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.3%

UTA -1.4%

POR +5.8%

POR +6.7%

POR +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.2	15.6	94.3	113.5	102.3
season	16.1	16.0		102.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.6	15.6	16.0	15.4	16.4
POR	15.7	17.1	14.7	17.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	18	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-21	24	15.8	16.5	-0.67	17.6	15.8	1.85
DeShawn Stevenson	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.17	-7	-11	4	13.9	16.8	-2.90	14.9	16.4	-1.48
Scott Padgett	15	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-19	20	14.9	16.7	-1.80	16.6	16.1	0.58
Andrei Kirilenko	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-23	28	16.9	16.0	0.91	18.0	14.8	3.19
John Amaechi	27	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-17	16	18.2	15.5	2.68	19.1	14.7	4.35
Bryon Russell	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-15	12	16.3	16.4	-0.07	17.3	14.7	2.56
John Crotty	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-13	8	16.3	16.4	-0.08	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Greg Ostertag	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-6	-6	16.0	16.6	-0.59	14.3	17.2	-2.89
John Stockton	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-5	-8	16.4	16.3	0.08	16.3	16.0	0.29
Quincy Lewis	35	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-2	-14	16.8	16.1	0.68	14.7	17.2	-2.45
Donyell Marshall	61	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	3	-24	16.5	16.1	0.31	15.1	18.3	-3.20
Karl Malone	63	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.18	-21	3	-24	16.2	16.8	-0.61	15.2	18.2	-2.97

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	71	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-2	22	16.6	14.4	2.18	16.5	15.8	0.67
Bonzi Wells	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-2	22	16.3	15.7	0.66	17.7	12.5	5.15
Derek Anderson	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.19	22	-4	26	15.9	17.5	-1.60	15.7	19.4	-3.76
Scottie Pippen	62	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	0	18	15.6	17.5	-1.92	16.6	15.8	0.84
Dale Davis	57	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	-1	20	15.2	17.9	-2.70	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	26	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	14	-10	16.2	16.2	-0.04	16.9	16.2	0.74
Erick Barkley	37	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	19	-20	18.3	14.7	3.58	16.4	16.4	-0.02
Steve Kerr	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	24	-30	16.5	16.0	0.50	15.4	17.1	-1.66
Zach Randolph	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.5	16.4	-2.94	11.0	16.9	-5.90
Shawn Kemp	6	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	23	-28	17.0	16.1	0.88	19.1	16.1	3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAC 84, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 99, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%