NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	4.7 [871]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +24.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	113		Comeback	1.2 [1082]		LVP	Paul Pierce (WAS): -8.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	10	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	18	46%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.06	0.02	15	76%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	21	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	150%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.01	19	49%	0.08	4	-0.08	7	29%	-0.08
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	24.3	16.5	30.3	1.6	28.6	130.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.0%

WAS -1.7%

LAC +19.2%

WAS -11.5%

LAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.1	102.1	117.7	104.2
season	15.1	14.6		102.9	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.9	15.6	15.0	13.9	15.1
LAC	12.9	16.4	15.7	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-25	36	13.9	15.6	-1.71	16.6	14.0	2.60
Martell Webster	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	11.3	15.2	-3.86	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Rasual Butler	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-17	20	11.0	15.4	-4.44	14.9	14.8	0.11
Otto Porter	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-20	26	14.2	15.3	-1.13	16.7	14.2	2.43
Drew Gooden	44	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-10	6	13.9	16.1	-2.17	15.5	14.2	1.29
Ramon Sessions	55	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-8	2	13.9	16.6	-2.73	15.1	14.3	0.78
Bradley Beal	73	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	15.9	12.4	3.53	15.1	13.9	1.14
Nene	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	2	-18	16.2	13.7	2.59	14.1	15.6	-1.55
Paul Pierce	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	6	-26	16.0	13.5	2.50	14.0	16.0	-1.92
Marcin Gortat	59	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	4	-22	15.3	14.7	0.68	14.2	15.6	-1.38
John Wall	80	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.11	-21	7	-28	15.3	14.2	1.09	14.2	17.6	-3.35

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	74	76	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.18	28	-14	42	14.0	17.3	-3.25	15.3	14.2	1.06
Blake Griffin	71	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-11	36	14.2	16.4	-2.15	15.5	13.9	1.54
Matt Barnes	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.21	23	-9	32	13.7	16.7	-3.00	15.7	13.8	1.85
DeAndre Jordan	85	88	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	-3	20	14.5	16.8	-2.31	15.4	12.0	3.39
JJ Redick	68	70	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.09	12	2	10	14.7	15.0	-0.32	15.7	13.5	2.15
Austin Rivers	33	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	15	-16	15.5	14.4	1.09	14.0	15.6	-1.65
Hedo Turkoglu	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	15	-16	17.0	14.0	2.96	13.6	15.6	-1.93
Dahntay Jones	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	13.2	14.8	-1.59	11.3	15.2	-3.86
Jordan Hamilton	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	13.2	14.8	-1.59	11.3	15.2	-3.86
Spencer Hawes	31	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	25	-36	16.7	13.9	2.82	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Nate Robinson	23	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	26	-38	17.6	13.9	3.67	13.7	15.5	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, SEA 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SAC 105, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 83, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%