NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	7.7 [299]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +14.3%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.3 [403]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -32.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.10	-0.03	13	50%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.16,-0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.02	15	55%	0.14	1	-0.16	8	100%	0.11
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	7	50%	-0.03	7	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.12,-0.05,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	28	56%	0.21	5	-0.19	8	62%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Kedrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	2	83%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	58%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	8	22%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.30	0.06	-0.06	29	26%	-0.07	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.33	-0.33	-0.03	-0.28	0.01	8	44%	-0.31	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.32

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	34.2	17.8	22.2	2.4	36.5	138.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -4.5%

NJN +55.9%

NJN +4.3%

BOS -10.4%

NJN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	15.6	96.0	92.0	102.3
season	14.7	15.0		101.4	100.9
opponent	15.7	16.0		98.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	11.8	14.3	15.8	16.4	14.6
BOS	15.7	13.9	13.0	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	-1	5	13.9	15.9	-2.01	14.0	15.1	-1.06
Kerry Kittles	78	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	3	-3	14.1	16.2	-2.12	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Jason Kidd	80	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	7	-11	14.1	16.5	-2.36	13.7	16.8	-3.08
Richard Jefferson	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	0	3	15.1	14.0	1.14	14.8	13.9	0.88
Kenyon Martin	69	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.22	2	1	1	14.4	14.9	-0.53	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Keith Van Horn	64	66	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.41	-7	10	-17	14.1	15.5	-1.42	14.7	13.8	0.84
Jason Collins	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	-5	13	15.5	14.4	1.11	14.4	14.4	0.07
Derrick Dial	19	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	-4	11	16.5	14.1	2.36	16.8	13.7	3.08
Lucious Harris	21	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	0	3	16.2	14.1	2.12	15.7	14.0	1.69
Aaron Williams	34	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	4	-5	15.9	13.9	2.01	15.1	14.0	1.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	2	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-7	11	4.0	14.6	-10.59	9.0	14.7	-5.74
Joe Johnson	47	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-11	19	14.2	14.5	-0.28	15.1	14.1	0.92
Vitaly Potapenko	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	2	-7	15.9	14.3	1.59	9.5	15.0	-5.51
Mark Blount	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-4	5	14.4	14.4	0.06	15.5	14.2	1.34
Milt Palacio	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.3	0.37	15.6	14.2	1.33
Walter McCarty	12	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	4	-11	15.1	14.3	0.80	15.8	14.4	1.41
Tony Battie	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.34	1	-4	5	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.8	14.2	0.53
Kenny Anderson	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-5	7	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.6	14.4	0.17
Eric Williams	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	2	-7	13.9	15.3	-1.40	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Paul Pierce	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	6	-15	14.6	13.3	1.31	14.4	15.4	-1.07
Antoine Walker	91	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-3	3	14.8	10.4	4.32	14.3	17.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.09,0	93.3%
SAC 104, BKN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.26,0	92.9%
BKN 101, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.07,0,0	92.7%