NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	2.1 [1233]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +22.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.1 [573]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -7.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	54%	-0.01	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.04	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.33	0.01	0.12	23	81%	0.22	0	0.00	7	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	18	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	75%	-0.01	2	-0.02	10	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	7	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	24.6	15.7	25.6	2.5	30.4	121.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.5%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +6.7%

MIL +11.1%

MIL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.5	102.2	125.0	100.9
season	16.0	14.9		105.3	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.3	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.4	17.7	16.1	15.3	16.1
MIL	12.8	15.9	17.4	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-23	24	12.3	16.5	-4.13	13.0	15.7	-2.69
DeShawn Stevenson	22	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.16	-9	-13	4	14.9	16.4	-1.57	14.1	15.9	-1.78
David Benoit	30	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-17	12	16.1	16.0	0.02	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Danny Manning	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-16	10	16.6	15.5	1.03	15.5	15.3	0.18
Bryon Russell	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-18	14	15.4	16.5	-1.09	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Olden Polynice	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-14	6	15.2	16.6	-1.42	15.9	15.1	0.76
John Stockton	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.10	-3	-19	16	15.1	17.2	-2.10	16.3	14.5	1.81
John Starks	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-11	0	17.8	14.9	2.94	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-11	0	17.6	14.8	2.76	15.8	15.2	0.60
Jacque Vaughn	40	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-6	-10	17.2	15.2	2.00	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Donyell Marshall	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-6	-10	15.9	16.4	-0.54	15.8	14.8	1.04
Karl Malone	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.25	-22	0	-22	15.6	16.6	-0.93	15.0	15.9	-0.86

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	74	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.39	32	-10	42	15.4	15.6	-0.23	16.8	12.5	4.30
Glenn Robinson	64	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.42	32	-10	42	15.0	16.4	-1.34	16.7	14.8	1.87
Scott Williams	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	5	12	15.2	15.9	-0.76	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	40	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	3	16	16.9	14.3	2.61	17.1	15.3	1.80
Lindsey Hunter	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	9	4	15.7	15.1	0.63	16.6	15.4	1.25
Sam Cassell	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	18	-14	15.6	15.1	0.53	15.4	17.1	-1.74
Jason Caffey	40	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	22	-22	16.0	15.0	1.06	16.6	15.6	0.93
Darvin Ham	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	22	-22	15.1	15.5	-0.36	15.3	16.3	-0.94
Rafer Alston	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	13.8	15.6	-1.82	12.3	16.5	-4.13
Joel Przybilla	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	13.8	15.6	-1.82	12.3	16.5	-4.13
Mark Pope	35	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	23	-24	14.6	15.9	-1.28	14.4	17.2	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, TOR 130	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
BKN 95, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
GSW 91, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%