NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	5.0 [799]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +14.6%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.5 [664]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -9.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	72%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	13	65%	0.11	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.04	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	13	79%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	7	93%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	13	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	90%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	16	66%	0.18	7	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	12	58%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	30.2	16.5	26.3	2.8	30.4	133.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.4%

NYK +0.3%

CHH -0.8%

CHH -3.1%

NYK +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	16.1	15.5	112.6	128.4	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		99.7	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		96.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.6	18.9	15.2	16.8	16.8
NYK	15.4	13.9	16.1	19.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-14	13	23.8	15.9	7.86	16.7	16.0	0.70
Hersey Hawkins	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-13	11	16.8	16.8	-0.01	14.2	16.4	-2.17
Otis Thorpe	4	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-14	13	15.2	16.9	-1.67	19.2	15.9	3.31
Derrick Coleman	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-9	3	14.8	17.7	-2.86	17.2	15.6	1.62
Eddie Robinson	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-10	5	16.5	17.1	-0.64	17.2	15.4	1.79
Elden Campbell	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-2	-11	16.6	17.5	-0.90	15.9	16.4	-0.49
P.J. Brown	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	17.0	16.1	0.88	15.4	19.2	-3.87
David Wesley	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-2	-11	17.0	16.1	0.95	15.9	16.7	-0.74
Jamal Mashburn	68	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-1	-13	16.7	17.3	-0.61	15.8	17.2	-1.44
Baron Davis	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-4	-7	16.9	16.6	0.27	16.4	13.6	2.81

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	2	11	16.1	15.8	0.30	16.7	19.0	-2.27
Glen Rice	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	1	13	16.8	14.7	2.09	17.4	15.6	1.76
Kurt Thomas	62	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	2	11	15.7	16.9	-1.20	16.4	18.0	-1.52
Marcus Camby	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	15.9	17.1	-1.27	16.7	17.6	-0.92
Charlie Ward	56	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	3	9	16.7	15.0	1.65	17.0	16.6	0.38
Mark Jackson	63	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	10	-5	15.3	18.0	-2.68	16.3	18.1	-1.78
Othella Harrington	39	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	11	-7	17.3	15.1	2.21	17.9	16.1	1.84
Travis Knight	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	13	-11	11.0	16.2	-5.20	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Rick Brunson	4	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	14	-13	9.0	16.4	-7.42	16.0	16.9	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 93, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAS 101, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%