NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	122		Excitement	1.7 [1251]		MVP	Dale Davis (POR): +8.0%
Golden State Warriors	91		Comeback	1.0 [1223]		LVP	Chris Porter (GSW): -9.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.18	0.00	0.10	8	111%	0.08	2	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	79%	0.07	2	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.16	0.00	0.12	12	89%	0.04	3	-0.00	12	83%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	62%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.14	0.00	-0.12	6	36%	0.00	5	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.19	0.00	-0.12	5	8%	-0.05	5	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	10	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	12	71%	-0.01	1	0.00	7	43%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	13	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	6	7%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	14	55%	-0.01	5	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.20	0.00	-0.13	15	34%	-0.06	4	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Chris Porter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.23	-0.00	-0.13	20	32%	-0.05	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	34.3	15.6	30.7	2.0	27.4	135.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.3%

POR +6.0%

POR +3.1%

POR +5.5%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	14.6	15.5	118.4	88.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.0		103.9	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.8		104.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.5	13.0	12.3	16.4	13.4
GSW	13.7	14.7	13.9	16.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	58	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	4	23	13.3	13.5	-0.26	14.7	14.5	0.21
Damon Stoudamire	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.80	40	-9	49	13.2	13.6	-0.39	14.8	14.3	0.48
Rasheed Wallace	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.36	25	6	19	12.3	14.0	-1.67	15.2	14.2	0.95
Dale Davis	52	53	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	27	-23	14.0	12.8	1.24	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Steven Smith	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.62	31	0	31	12.6	14.4	-1.77	13.8	15.5	-1.69
Arvydas Sabonis	52	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.59	27	4	23	13.0	13.8	-0.78	15.1	14.0	1.08
Bonzi Wells	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	18	-5	12.4	13.8	-1.37	14.8	14.5	0.29
Rod Strickland	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.39	-9	40	-49	13.6	13.2	0.39	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Detlef Schrempf	53	52	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.49	21	10	11	14.1	12.6	1.49	14.7	14.5	0.16
Stacey Augmon	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	28	-25	12.1	13.9	-1.81	12.9	15.2	-2.29
Antonio Harvey	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	45	-59	14.9	12.9	1.98	14.8	14.5	0.33
Greg Anthony	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	44	-57	16.4	12.6	3.78	16.4	14.1	2.28

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul McPherson	44	44	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.47	16	-47	63	14.5	14.6	-0.09	14.6	12.5	2.06
Adam Keefe	47	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-25	19	15.6	13.7	1.80	14.5	12.5	1.99
Erick Dampier	41	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.47	-20	-11	-9	14.8	14.4	0.39	13.5	13.3	0.21
Vonteego Cummings	63	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.65	-30	-1	-29	15.2	13.6	1.63	13.7	12.8	0.87
Chris Garner	40	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-30	29	13.6	15.2	-1.63	12.8	13.7	-0.87
Chris Porter	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.56	-32	1	-33	14.8	13.8	0.96	13.3	13.6	-0.26
Corie Blount	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.32	-25	-6	-19	13.7	15.6	-1.80	12.5	14.5	-1.99
Antawn Jamison	74	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.68	-40	9	-49	14.1	15.8	-1.70	12.9	14.6	-1.76
Adonal Foyle	70	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	-14	-3	14.7	14.2	0.49	13.2	13.8	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 112, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.4%
TOR 110, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
SAS 118, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%