inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 88 Excitement2.1 [1235] MVPDanny Ferry (SAS): +7.8%
San Antonio Spurs 106 Comeback1.0 [1093] LVPJohn Starks (UTA): -6.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.03485%0.053-0.02560%0.00
Donyell Marshall0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.031455%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Olden Polynice0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00362%0.0010.002100%0.00
John Crotty-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0000.0000%0.00
John Stockton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01965%0.003-0.012100%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03739%-0.0100.00425%-0.00
Quincy Lewis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Danny Manning-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.021233%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Karl Malone-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.050.000.021756%-0.024-0.05989%0.01
Bryon Russell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.0440%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
John Starks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.03714%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.034112%0.0800.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.051076%0.0800.001883%0.01
Sean Elliott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02773%0.041-0.011100%-0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.06744%0.031-0.00250%-0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00860%0.021-0.004100%0.01
Derek Anderson0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.061752%0.053-0.041070%-0.01
Shawnelle Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02362%0.011-0.01757%-0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03125%-0.001-0.01250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.830.219.731.82.833.2144.2
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +43.2%
SAS +4.5%
UTA -3.7%
SAS +5.3%
SAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASASNBAUTASASNBA
this game16.616.215.5101.1119.1100.9
season16.015.9105.3103.4
opponent15.515.596.5100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.919.713.915.216.6
SAS14.815.516.717.516.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scott Padgett550.00-0.500.50-0.062-202216.616.60.0318.216.02.16
John Crotty1516-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-212418.616.22.4516.716.00.65
Danny Manning2929-0.06-0.440.38-0.236-243019.115.33.8416.216.10.07
Quincy Lewis1516-0.07-0.430.35-0.01-2-161416.316.6-0.2915.116.4-1.26
Greg Ostertag3838-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-141018.115.42.6716.316.00.32
Olden Polynice3334-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-8-10215.717.1-1.3716.715.80.94
Bryon Russell5051-0.25-0.250.000.04-10-8-217.615.22.4115.916.5-0.55
Jacque Vaughn4344-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-8-10217.715.52.1716.416.00.41
John Stockton5253-0.26-0.24-0.010.16-14-4-1014.619.5-4.9216.315.90.45
John Starks3738-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-15-3-1215.817.1-1.3315.616.6-1.06
Donyell Marshall5960-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-12-6-616.616.50.1116.116.2-0.12
Karl Malone5961-0.46-0.04-0.410.36-2810-3814.920.1-5.2616.016.6-0.60

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Anderson68680.500.000.49-0.3830-124216.216.10.0816.516.9-0.48
Tim Duncan50510.420.080.34-0.2523-52816.016.4-0.4017.215.71.55
Danny Ferry56550.360.140.220.01126616.216.10.1516.117.5-1.41
David Robinson70700.350.150.20-0.03135816.315.50.8716.118.4-2.21
Terry Porter43430.260.240.01-0.3019-12015.616.7-1.0713.819.3-5.50
Avery Johnson41390.240.26-0.010.21117-1616.515.90.6119.614.15.56
Sean Elliott33320.160.34-0.18-0.02612-616.116.2-0.1118.215.62.55
Samaki Walker36340.150.35-0.200.21-220-2216.216.10.1116.716.50.22
Antonio Daniels28270.070.43-0.360.24-624-3014.916.7-1.7917.416.21.15
Shawnelle Scott540.000.50-0.500.06-220-2218.216.02.1613.016.7-3.75
Steve Kerr430.000.50-0.500.00018-1818.516.02.459.716.8-7.15
Malik Rose119-0.000.50-0.510.11-422-2617.615.91.6915.616.7-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 95, HOU 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
MIL 107, SAC 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
DAL 89, NJN 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%