NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	2.0 [1294]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +12.7%
Sacramento Kings	124		Comeback	1.0 [1188]		LVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): -10.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	70%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	69%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.14	0.00	0.14	14	70%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	8	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
John Henson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.00	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.05	7	56%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	12	22%	-0.08	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.24	0.01	0.12	19	73%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	16	62%	0.06	3	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.24	0.00	0.20	13	81%	0.04	1	-0.00	11	82%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.02	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	43%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Royce White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	1.8	35.6	14.7	27.4	2.4	26.6	139.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.6%

SAC +3.3%

SAC +5.3%

SAC +1.1%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SAC	NBA	MIL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.4	15.1	111.5	126.5	105.2
season	15.7	15.4		101.4	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.1		107.1	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.7	13.5	13.4	12.5	14.2
SAC	13.0	16.5	15.4	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miroslav Raduljica	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.36	-13	-4	-9	14.0	14.3	-0.25	12.8	15.7	-2.94
Chris Wright	53	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-25	33	13.2	15.5	-2.28	15.9	14.9	0.94
Ramon Sessions	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-18	19	13.6	14.7	-1.04	16.2	14.9	1.37
John Henson	48	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-28	39	13.9	14.6	-0.75	15.9	15.0	0.94
Jeff Adrien	49	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	13.8	14.6	-0.80	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Giannis Antetokounmpo	45	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-12	7	14.5	14.0	0.45	15.2	15.7	-0.54
O.J. Mayo	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-16	15	13.8	14.8	-0.98	15.7	15.1	0.52
Ersan Ilyasova	47	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-6	-5	14.6	13.8	0.80	16.4	14.6	1.75
Zaza Pachulia	39	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-2	-13	14.7	13.9	0.87	15.5	15.4	0.04
Brandon Knight	45	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.36	-24	7	-31	14.9	13.6	1.33	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Khris Middleton	47	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.42	-30	13	-43	15.5	13.0	2.47	14.7	16.2	-1.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	75	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.49	34	-17	51	14.5	18.7	-4.24	15.1	11.6	3.50
Ben McLemore	70	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	-9	35	14.6	17.5	-2.92	15.3	11.8	3.44
Reggie Evans	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.61	35	-18	53	14.5	16.7	-2.13	15.1	13.0	2.06
DeMarcus Cousins	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.69	37	-20	57	14.4	17.1	-2.75	14.9	13.0	1.92
Rudy Gay	80	81	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	7	3	16.6	10.4	6.13	14.3	13.7	0.59
Derrick Williams	49	47	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.66	-16	33	-49	16.1	14.8	1.22	13.3	15.1	-1.87
Jason Thompson	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.49	-11	28	-39	16.8	14.7	2.10	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Travis Outlaw	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.36	-11	28	-39	16.9	14.8	2.10	11.6	15.4	-3.78
Aaron Gray	11	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	19	-21	13.5	15.7	-2.25	12.4	14.4	-1.97
Royce White	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	10.7	15.6	-4.93	8.0	14.4	-6.36
Ray McCallum	23	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.49	-17	34	-51	18.7	14.5	4.24	11.6	15.1	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DET 79, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
UTA 88, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%