NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	6.3 [518]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +10.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	6.3 [113]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -19.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	70%	0.17	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Devean George	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Shaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.07	0.03	21	63%	0.06	5	-0.15	15	80%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	54%	-0.03	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	15	35%	-0.07	4	-0.12	7	71%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	18	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	16	63%	0.12	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.06
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	12	38%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	7	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	15	48%	0.05	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.8	30.6	17.0	26.7	3.0	47.2	148.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.1%

MIL +3.9%

MIL +0.0%

MIL +14.7%

MIL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.5	102.0	107.0	100.9
season	15.6	14.9		106.8	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	16.9	15.2	13.4	15.2
MIL	17.5	13.8	12.5	12.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	6	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.10	-3	-4	1	15.5	15.2	0.28	8.9	14.3	-5.43
Devean George	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-4	1	20.8	14.7	6.10	14.4	13.8	0.63
Tyronn Lue	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-10	13	15.1	15.3	-0.18	15.0	13.5	1.51
Brian Shaw	22	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-6	5	13.9	15.6	-1.77	10.3	14.7	-4.39
Horace Grant	62	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-4	1	15.3	15.1	0.28	14.6	12.6	2.07
Robert Horry	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.29	12.2	15.2	-2.97
Rick Fox	82	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-4	1	14.9	16.8	-1.89	14.0	13.3	0.63
Shaquille O'Neal	85	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	15.5	13.5	2.04	14.6	9.5	5.10
Kobe Bryant	82	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	15.3	14.9	0.43	14.4	10.8	3.61
Derek Fisher	78	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	5	-17	15.3	15.1	0.17	13.6	14.7	-1.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-3	13	12.8	17.3	-4.46	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Ray Allen	83	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	2	3	13.9	13.8	0.06	14.6	18.4	-3.77
Glenn Robinson	78	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	13.3	16.0	-2.73	15.9	13.0	2.88
Scott Williams	39	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	-12	31	11.9	15.1	-3.19	15.9	14.8	1.10
Ervin Johnson	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	2	3	13.7	14.0	-0.28	15.8	14.5	1.25
Jason Caffey	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	1	5	14.4	13.5	0.84	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Tim Thomas	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	5	-3	13.4	14.4	-1.02	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Lindsey Hunter	32	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	7	-7	15.7	13.0	2.76	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Joel Przybilla	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	12	-17	16.4	12.8	3.53	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Darvin Ham	15	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.13	-11	18	-29	19.2	12.9	6.27	15.3	15.2	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,1	93.8%
MIA 83, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.92,1	93.1%
DEN 89, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.68,0.78,0.91,1,1	92.8%