NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	3.3 [1082]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +9.5%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	2.8 [634]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -7.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Dell Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	17	59%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Keon Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.09	3	33%	0.02	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	9	28%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	62%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	14	79%	0.14	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	21	60%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	70%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	28.3	15.8	25.8	0.8	27.2	124.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +21.5%

CHH +7.7%

CHH +16.4%

CHH +1.7%

CHH +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHH	NBA	TOR	CHH	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.5	102.2	119.4	100.9
season	15.8	15.8		103.7	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		97.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	14.1	18.2	16.2	15.7
CHH	15.7	13.6	15.3	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	16.0	15.7	0.27	14.5	15.3	-0.76
Eric Montross	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	16.1	15.7	0.39	15.0	15.3	-0.27
Dell Curry	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-19	22	16.5	15.4	1.07	15.5	15.1	0.42
Tracy Murray	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-16	16	15.3	15.9	-0.58	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Jerome Williams	20	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.16	1	-17	18	16.0	15.7	0.33	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Morris Peterson	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-14	12	15.6	15.8	-0.18	16.9	14.3	2.56
Chris Childs	36	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.9	16.3	-1.44	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Keon Clark	46	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.20	-18	2	-20	15.3	16.1	-0.78	14.1	16.3	-2.17
Alvin Williams	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-1	-14	16.3	14.2	2.12	15.3	15.0	0.36
Vince Carter	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-4	-8	15.5	16.4	-0.90	15.5	14.4	1.18
Charles Oakley	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-1	-14	15.7	15.8	-0.15	15.3	15.2	0.09
Antonio Davis	67	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-2	-12	15.9	15.2	0.71	15.7	14.1	1.65

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-3	22	14.8	16.1	-1.23	15.9	15.3	0.65
David Wesley	78	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.04	16	0	16	15.6	13.5	2.02	15.9	14.7	1.21
Elden Campbell	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	7	2	15.9	13.6	2.32	15.1	17.2	-2.08
Baron Davis	82	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	7	2	15.6	12.7	2.83	15.7	15.7	0.02
P.J. Brown	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	1	14	15.2	15.3	-0.07	16.1	15.2	0.80
Eddie Robinson	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	14	-12	14.8	15.6	-0.83	15.7	15.8	-0.16
Otis Thorpe	37	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	15	-14	15.3	15.2	0.07	15.2	16.1	-0.80
Jamaal Magloire	28	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	9	-2	13.6	15.9	-2.32	17.2	15.1	2.08
Lee Nailon	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	14	-12	14.3	15.3	-1.04	13.1	16.0	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
POR 93, BOS 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIN 103, SAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%