NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	3.8 [1052]		MVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): +13.9%
Sacramento Kings	118		Comeback	2.5 [666]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -5.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.02	20	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.05
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	12%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.14	6	81%	0.01	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.09	0.00	0.13	13	68%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	11	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	6	7%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.15	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	12	58%	0.14	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.00	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.14	0.00	0.14	5	108%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	28.8	15.8	29.2	2.5	31.3	138.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.5%

SAC +2.8%

MIN -3.2%

SAC +10.7%

MIN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.0	15.5	100.0	114.6	106.4
season	15.8	15.0		104.3	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		112.7	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.2	16.9	16.7	12.2	14.9
SAC	14.0	13.1	10.6	14.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-19	23	12.2	15.9	-3.74	14.5	12.5	1.98
Rodney Carney	14	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-10	5	14.3	15.0	-0.76	11.9	13.2	-1.35
Sebastian Telfair	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-13	11	17.1	14.8	2.36	15.9	12.8	3.04
Kevin Ollie	55	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-15	15	14.2	15.8	-1.59	13.8	12.1	1.75
Rashad McCants	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-10	5	14.5	15.5	-0.97	13.6	12.4	1.21
Kevin Love	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-11	7	14.4	15.7	-1.32	13.5	12.4	1.06
Craig Smith	53	52	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-3	-9	15.3	14.5	0.82	12.5	13.6	-1.13
Randy Foye	70	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-10	5	14.2	16.4	-2.18	13.2	12.7	0.47
Ryan Gomes	55	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-1	-13	16.0	13.7	2.35	11.6	14.5	-2.88
Mike Miller	53	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-1	-13	15.8	14.0	1.87	12.7	13.3	-0.58
Al Jefferson	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	3	-21	16.2	12.4	3.82	12.5	14.2	-1.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	0	15	12.1	14.3	-2.19	16.6	12.7	3.91
Francisco Garcia	53	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	0	15	12.6	13.5	-0.93	16.5	13.3	3.19
John Salmons	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	0	15	13.3	12.7	0.60	15.8	13.7	2.09
Brad Miller	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	0	15	12.5	13.7	-1.22	16.2	13.4	2.83
Spencer Hawes	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	17	-19	14.2	11.5	2.76	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Jason Thompson	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	8	-1	13.3	12.8	0.50	14.0	15.9	-1.86
Mikki Moore	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.17	10	5	5	11.7	13.8	-2.16	14.8	15.0	-0.28
Bobby Jackson	50	50	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	14	-13	13.3	12.7	0.58	14.0	15.8	-1.87
Donte Greene	42	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	16	-17	12.9	13.1	-0.23	12.9	16.3	-3.47
Bobby Brown	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	15	-15	14.3	12.1	2.19	12.7	16.6	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 92, MEM 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DET 74, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%