inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 74 Excitement3.8 [1069] MVPAndrew Nicholson (ORL): +5.0%
Orlando Magic 90 Comeback2.3 [543] LVPBrandon Knight (DET): -8.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kim English0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Will Bynum-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04825%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.00-0.0650%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.030.011158%0.074-0.111182%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.001242%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.000.03954%-0.013-0.05683%-0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00615%-0.0600.0010%-0.02
Corey Maggette-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.070,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.03727%-0.032-0.0410%-0.01
Brandon Knight-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.041132%-0.052-0.04333%-0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.02975%0.093-0.04250%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.01762%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01657%0.0300.002100%0.01
Glen Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00950%0.031-0.03475%-0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.041339%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeQuan Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.00-0.03744%0.031-0.03250%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02550%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02437%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.000.001340%-0.031-0.02450%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01650%-0.013-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.92.027.115.730.32.426.2131.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +38.1%
DET -0.1%
ORL +4.2%
ORL +9.5%
DET -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETORLNBADETORLNBA
this game15.414.515.477.192.8104.1
season15.715.5102.3100.3
opponent15.315.5107.7106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.016.015.517.515.4
ORL14.214.614.015.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kim English770.00-0.500.50-0.186-222811.015.7-4.7318.914.14.73
Austin Daye770.00-0.500.50-0.186-222811.015.7-4.7318.914.14.73
Charlie Villanueva2020-0.04-0.460.43-0.102-182013.415.9-2.5115.014.30.74
Rodney Stuckey5051-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-131014.616.2-1.6014.014.9-0.90
Corey Maggette2121-0.20-0.300.110.07-9-7-214.215.7-1.5315.214.30.93
Jonas Jerebko2020-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-6-414.015.7-1.6916.114.02.06
Andre Drummond3737-0.22-0.280.07-0.220-161614.216.1-1.9014.714.30.34
Will Bynum2727-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-4-815.315.4-0.0714.614.40.23
Jason Maxiell5353-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-8-8016.314.32.0014.514.5-0.02
Brandon Knight5858-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-5-615.914.71.2014.314.7-0.47
Tayshaun Prince5556-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.00-9-7-216.613.82.7614.015.1-1.14
Greg Monroe6263-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-182-2016.413.62.8313.815.6-1.78
Kyle Singler6365-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.00-14-2-1215.914.41.5613.915.5-1.59

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jameer Nelson63610.56-0.060.61-0.2628-124013.915.5-1.6417.711.36.45
Arron Afflalo52520.450.050.40-0.2524-83213.515.6-2.1217.413.04.45
Glen Davis52510.420.080.35-0.1018-22014.314.6-0.2517.912.55.41
Maurice Harkless43420.360.140.210.24412-813.914.9-0.9615.315.4-0.09
Nikola Vucevic43440.220.28-0.06-0.07106414.614.40.2116.314.61.72
Gustavo Ayon38370.140.36-0.21-0.15106413.615.1-1.5014.715.8-1.11
Kyle O'Quinn16150.130.37-0.230.25-420-2416.314.12.2114.315.6-1.25
JJ Redick58560.130.37-0.25-0.1188014.814.00.8215.016.0-1.01
Andrew Nicholson45450.080.42-0.350.14-218-2014.614.30.2512.517.9-5.41
Josh McRoberts34350.070.43-0.360.01214-1215.214.11.1014.016.2-2.23
Ish Smith770.000.50-0.500.18-622-2818.914.14.7311.015.7-4.73
DeQuan Jones770.000.50-0.500.18-622-2818.914.14.7311.015.7-4.73
E'Twaun Moore2728-0.060.56-0.610.12-622-2814.714.40.2811.417.0-5.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 78, CHI 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
LAC 94, PHX 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,195.7%
MIN 103, SAC 1180.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%