inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 75 Excitement3.2 [1101] MVPMateen Cleaves (DET): +11.2%
Detroit Pistons 108 Comeback1.2 [1039] LVPBrad Miller (CHI): -17.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.000.02869%0.0500.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.02-0.001162%0.061-0.03450%-0.02
Jamal Crawford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01757%0.0210.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.100.00-0.10217%0.0030.00250%0.00
A.J. Guyton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.0930%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Dalibor Bagaric-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.120.00-0.12429%-0.0020.00633%-0.00
Bryce Drew-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.01-0.05831%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Elton Brand-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.041544%-0.012-0.03425%-0.03
Marcus Fizer-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.001435%-0.0600.003100%-0.00
Corey Benjamin-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.00-0.04614%-0.062-0.022100%0.01
Brad Miller-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.02-0.02711%-0.122-0.06450%-0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mateen Cleaves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.01-0.04781%0.1120.002100%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01680%0.0900.008100%0.03
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.000.022057%0.0610.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00478%0.041-0.001100%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.03775%0.041-0.022100%0.00
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00475%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.03425%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03955%0.024-0.05250%0.00
Billy Owens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.11-0.00-0.0830%-0.0330.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02747%-0.0300.00367%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00847%-0.002-0.0310%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.525.515.725.11.526.6120.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +32.4%
DET +8.8%
DET +2.0%
DET +6.7%
DET +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDETNBACHIDETNBA
this game15.612.815.573.5108.0100.9
season16.414.395.297.9
opponent15.415.199.6104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.916.416.014.515.6
DET14.814.212.010.812.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corey Benjamin29270.02-0.520.530.05-1-323114.915.9-1.0515.511.93.62
Michael Ruffin20200.00-0.500.500.03-1-323113.816.1-2.2410.813.3-2.55
A.J. Guyton2829-0.00-0.500.490.23-8-251714.516.1-1.5810.813.7-2.83
Dalibor Bagaric3537-0.05-0.450.390.24-10-231314.716.1-1.4212.613.0-0.39
Marcus Fizer6261-0.14-0.360.230.42-19-14-515.316.2-0.9112.812.9-0.09
Jamal Crawford5251-0.16-0.340.190.28-15-18314.916.4-1.4412.213.6-1.39
Brad Miller4744-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-14-19515.815.50.3412.613.1-0.49
Metta World Peace6363-0.42-0.08-0.340.40-28-5-2316.114.91.2613.012.60.39
Bryce Drew5452-0.47-0.03-0.430.21-23-10-1316.614.61.9713.412.21.21
Elton Brand6058-0.47-0.03-0.440.20-23-10-1316.414.51.8713.212.30.96
Fred Hoiberg6058-0.47-0.03-0.440.20-23-10-1316.414.51.8713.212.30.96

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace49520.54-0.040.59-0.192581713.412.31.0716.215.01.23
Joe Smith50540.450.050.40-0.292581713.012.70.2816.215.01.26
Jerry Stackhouse73750.420.080.35-0.342671913.511.02.4716.313.72.64
Michael Curry39410.280.220.07-0.161518-313.812.21.6515.915.50.39
Mateen Cleaves62620.280.220.06-0.3622111112.114.1-2.0015.515.8-0.33
Chucky Atkins38400.220.28-0.06-0.101122-1114.112.12.0015.815.50.33
Dana Barros31300.130.37-0.23-0.10825-1711.413.5-2.1114.216.2-2.00
Corliss Williamson44440.090.41-0.32-0.291320-712.613.1-0.4916.015.40.58
Mikki Moore50480.050.45-0.40-0.18825-1712.713.0-0.2815.016.2-1.26
Billy Owens37380.030.47-0.44-0.291122-1113.212.60.5516.515.11.40
John Wallace16150.000.50-0.50-0.03132-3110.513.3-2.7911.816.3-4.51
Jud Buechler11110.000.50-0.500.00033-339.813.2-3.4011.916.1-4.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 88, MIA 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
ATL 75, MIN 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.3%
GSW 94, ORL 1110.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%