NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	3.3 [1099]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +15.2%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.4 [986]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -12.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	68%	0.10	4	-0.08	9	56%	-0.02
Bob Sura	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bill Curley	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Coker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	5	70%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	0.06	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	19	43%	-0.07	3	-0.05	11	82%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.01	16	71%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	13	42%	0.00	1	-0.00	7	57%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	5	80%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	11	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	30.2	16.8	27.2	2.5	29.3	132.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +18.2%

ORL +5.4%

ORL +9.9%

ORL +15.8%

ORL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ORL	NBA	GSW	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.5	94.0	111.0	100.9
season	15.0	14.6		95.3	101.6
opponent	15.8	14.9		100.8	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.5	15.1	14.8	13.7	14.8
ORL	13.9	12.0	13.4	16.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	49	51	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.38	17	-34	51	14.0	15.6	-1.57	16.1	11.9	4.20
Vinny Del Negro	42	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-24	31	13.6	15.7	-2.12	16.0	12.5	3.55
John Coker	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-15	13	16.6	14.6	1.93	11.1	14.2	-3.13
Chucky Brown	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-11	5	12.4	15.0	-2.59	13.1	14.1	-0.95
Vonteego Cummings	30	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-18	19	14.1	15.1	-0.95	14.5	13.8	0.74
Chris Mullin	42	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-17	17	13.3	15.9	-2.53	14.4	13.7	0.73
Bill Curley	31	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	-3	-11	15.3	14.6	0.76	15.0	13.6	1.43
Mookie Blaylock	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.18	-17	0	-17	15.4	13.4	2.05	13.8	14.5	-0.75
Antawn Jamison	70	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.27	-26	9	-35	15.4	13.4	2.00	12.8	16.5	-3.63
Marc Jackson	87	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	2	-21	15.1	12.5	2.69	13.7	15.7	-1.95
Bob Sura	61	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.26	-26	9	-35	15.6	13.6	1.94	12.2	16.7	-4.51

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	57	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.20	25	-8	33	12.8	15.6	-2.86	15.9	13.3	2.53
Mike Miller	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	-2	21	13.0	15.7	-2.66	15.3	14.0	1.23
Tracy McGrady	47	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.18	21	-4	25	13.0	14.9	-1.89	15.6	14.0	1.63
Pat Garrity	56	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-3	23	12.7	15.6	-2.88	15.2	14.2	1.04
Andrew DeClercq	25	26	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	-3	23	12.5	14.5	-1.97	17.0	14.0	2.92
John Amaechi	39	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	19	-21	14.8	13.5	1.39	13.0	15.8	-2.81
Bo Outlaw	15	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	13	-9	13.8	14.0	-0.24	16.2	14.5	1.73
Monty Williams	54	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	21	-25	14.8	13.1	1.73	14.0	15.6	-1.63
James Robinson	35	35	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	19	-21	16.2	12.8	3.34	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Michael Doleac	58	56	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	23	-29	14.8	12.9	1.97	14.0	15.8	-1.78
Don Reid	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	19	-21	18.3	13.7	4.61	15.9	14.7	1.17
Troy Hudson	44	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	25	-33	15.4	12.9	2.44	13.3	15.9	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 74, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
IND 89, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 89, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%