inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 102 Excitement5.8 [649] MVPMike Miller (ORL): +19.2%
Orlando Magic 112 Comeback1.1 [1165] LVPCorliss Williamson (DET): -11.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dana Barros0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.012125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.02762%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Michael Curry0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.02583%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Mikki Moore0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00850%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joe Smith-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
John Wallace-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jud Buechler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.013048%0.022-0.071573%0.01
Billy Owens-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00543%-0.031-0.044100%0.03
Corliss Williamson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.040.001551%-0.064-0.06743%-0.04

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.130.070.011277%0.211-0.022100%0.01
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.03-0.02462%0.0610.0000%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.021035%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.032851%0.052-0.051675%-0.02
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00558%0.001-0.01250%-0.02
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01664%0.033-0.05250%-0.01
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01650%-0.011-0.02450%-0.01
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00167%0.012-0.0510%-0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.01935%-0.034-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.832.015.826.32.331.6134.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +39.6%
DET -7.9%
ORL +16.6%
DET -0.7%
ORL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETORLNBADETORLNBA
this game13.414.115.597.1106.7100.9
season14.314.697.9101.6
opponent15.815.4100.899.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.212.212.713.313.4
ORL11.114.016.115.514.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mateen Cleaves3029-0.02-0.480.47-0.082-121412.913.5-0.6812.514.7-2.15
Joe Smith79-0.07-0.430.350.07-5-5016.713.13.6010.614.4-3.85
Mikki Moore2929-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-8612.913.5-0.6312.014.9-2.87
Dana Barros1919-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-8611.813.7-1.9117.713.34.41
Billy Owens5655-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-8612.913.9-0.9813.115.2-2.11
Michael Curry3739-0.20-0.300.09-0.03-6-4-214.912.52.4614.014.1-0.16
John Wallace2321-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-7-3-413.213.4-0.2314.414.00.38
Jerry Stackhouse8991-0.22-0.280.05-0.282-121412.716.7-4.0114.89.15.69
Corliss Williamson7272-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.280-101012.814.5-1.6114.912.22.72
Jud Buechler1613-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-122-1417.112.74.389.414.7-5.35
Ben Wallace7979-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.15-6-4-213.712.21.5414.413.21.23
Chucky Atkins6869-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.06-122-1413.413.20.2514.513.31.17

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady91920.51-0.010.530.1612-21414.213.40.7513.810.53.30
Don Reid59610.410.090.330.2173414.014.2-0.1712.814.2-1.39
Darrell Armstrong77770.360.140.220.1091814.612.52.1513.612.80.77
Pat Garrity35360.350.150.200.0991814.713.80.9613.213.4-0.16
Bo Outlaw57560.320.180.130.021001014.114.1-0.0513.812.81.01
Mike Miller80790.320.180.130.1464215.110.64.5113.014.5-1.47
Cory Alexander28280.140.36-0.220.1119-812.514.6-2.1512.813.6-0.77
Michael Doleac20200.110.39-0.280.0237-412.914.3-1.3912.913.5-0.56
Troy Hudson120.010.49-0.480.01010-106.014.2-8.152.513.6-11.06
Monty Williams2625-0.010.51-0.510.08-313-1611.015.1-4.0413.713.20.43
John Amaechi1212-0.010.51-0.520.05-212-1414.414.00.3814.213.20.92
Andrew DeClercq3937-0.010.51-0.530.05-212-1413.914.2-0.2413.813.10.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 101, SEA 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.95,1,1,194.8%
BOS 97, ATL 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
DEN 68, SEA 880.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%