inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 97 Excitement4.8 [875] MVPThabo Sefolosha (ATL): +12.2%
Atlanta Hawks 121 Comeback1.1 [916] LVPIsaiah Thomas (BOS): -9.3%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Avery Bradley0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.13-0.000.011769%0.142-0.03250%-0.01
RJ Hunter0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.020.036100%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Jared Sullinger0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01541%0.0100.00743%-0.01
Terry Rozier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Zeller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.06614%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.021127%-0.0500.0000%0.00
David Lee-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00956%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Evan Turner-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00838%-0.042-0.03580%-0.01
Amir Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.01440%-0.022-0.052100%-0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.070.000.031150%-0.005-0.096100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.030.02888%0.151-0.031100%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.150.020.061476%0.152-0.045100%0.02
Lamar Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.00583%0.101-0.03250%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.03888%0.103-0.041100%0.00
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.021055%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.011055%0.063-0.04978%-0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter Tavares0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.07-0.010.091075%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.010.04350%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.140.01-0.03733%0.025-0.114100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.427.716.829.43.432.5137.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +39.7%
ATL +9.0%
ATL +6.6%
BOS -5.0%
BOS -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game14.913.814.997.0119.8105.1
season13.914.2104.5104.1
opponent15.115.0100.3101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.817.514.513.214.9
ATL10.914.614.315.613.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Rozier780.00-0.500.500.000-242410.315.2-4.9514.913.71.20
James Young780.00-0.500.500.000-242410.315.2-4.9514.913.71.20
Tyler Zeller12120.00-0.500.500.09-3-211810.515.5-4.9916.513.43.10
David Lee5152-0.10-0.400.31-0.214-283215.614.21.3813.913.60.31
Amir Johnson4543-0.15-0.350.210.23-13-11-215.314.60.7313.913.70.19
Evan Turner5456-0.15-0.350.190.14-10-14414.715.1-0.3614.213.20.95
Jonas Jerebko3033-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-5-191414.315.1-0.8014.513.41.10
RJ Hunter4545-0.23-0.270.04-0.06-6-181214.715.0-0.2813.414.1-0.71
Kelly Olynyk3234-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-12-12015.714.51.1712.914.2-1.34
Avery Bradley6362-0.34-0.16-0.180.22-19-5-1414.914.9-0.0013.414.3-0.91
Isaiah Thomas5656-0.34-0.16-0.190.15-17-7-1015.114.60.5713.514.2-0.69
Jae Crowder5351-0.36-0.14-0.220.23-20-4-1615.714.01.6813.713.8-0.09
Jared Sullinger4545-0.36-0.14-0.230.19-19-5-1415.214.60.6413.314.2-0.87

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford54560.58-0.080.66-0.1525-12613.614.0-0.4716.113.32.81
Thabo Sefolosha54540.51-0.010.530.011771013.114.5-1.4215.913.72.13
Paul Millsap64650.430.070.35-0.162041613.614.0-0.4015.114.40.71
Kyle Korver68700.420.080.34-0.282402413.514.4-0.9715.214.21.03
Jeff Teague52530.340.160.18-0.041311213.514.1-0.6415.713.91.80
Dennis Schroder42400.160.34-0.18-0.191212014.113.50.5514.615.1-0.53
Mike Scott39380.140.36-0.21-0.271410414.413.41.0814.215.3-1.10
Tim Hardaway Jr.25230.100.40-0.300.01321-1815.313.32.0614.715.0-0.31
Justin Holiday770.000.50-0.500.03-125-2614.113.70.4010.315.2-4.95
Walter Tavares770.000.50-0.500.03-125-2614.113.70.4010.315.2-4.95
Shelvin Mack870.000.50-0.500.00024-2414.913.71.2010.315.2-4.95
Lamar Patterson5049-0.030.53-0.57-0.15420-1614.113.40.6913.915.8-1.87
Mike Muscala3531-0.150.65-0.800.14-1034-4413.314.0-0.6614.315.1-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 89, DAL 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
ORL 93, MIA 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
LAC 81, POR 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,194.7%