NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	5.3 [772]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +13.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	1.1 [1208]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -17.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.07	0.05	20	61%	0.17	5	-0.10	9	100%	0.03
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	70%	0.12	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Donell Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	3	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	12	17%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.01	7	87%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	18	63%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	12	52%	0.07	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.02	0.07	20	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	31.0	15.8	23.2	1.7	32.3	128.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +46.8%

WAS -13.0%

SEA +4.4%

SEA +7.0%

SEA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	NBA	WAS	SEA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.9	15.6	111.0	120.7	104.4
season	15.1	15.0		107.4	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		112.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.1	13.6	16.4	13.8	15.5
SEA	16.9	14.1	16.3	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donell Taylor	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	10.5	15.6	-5.14	12.0	16.0	-4.03
Calvin Booth	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-14	18	10.4	16.4	-6.00	19.5	15.3	4.19
Etan Thomas	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-10	10	14.2	16.6	-2.41	14.6	17.1	-2.50
Antonio Daniels	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	17.7	13.3	4.47	16.4	15.5	0.89
Brendan Haywood	37	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	1	-12	19.2	13.0	6.22	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	16.5	14.1	2.39	16.7	14.9	1.84
Caron Butler	60	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-7	4	13.5	19.4	-5.90	15.6	16.7	-1.12
Chucky Atkins	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-5	0	13.3	17.7	-4.47	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Gilbert Arenas	85	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	1	-12	15.5	15.7	-0.15	16.1	13.5	2.62
Antawn Jamison	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	1	-12	16.4	12.2	4.26	15.5	17.6	-2.12

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-3	16	16.2	14.9	1.30	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Ray Allen	83	81	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-2	14	15.6	19.4	-3.88	15.4	16.4	-0.98
Nick Collison	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	3	4	14.8	17.7	-2.83	14.0	17.9	-3.95
Rashard Lewis	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	2	6	16.7	13.7	2.98	15.3	16.2	-0.86
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	3	4	15.8	16.1	-0.25	13.2	17.6	-4.35
Damien Wilkins	22	20	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.15	1	9	-8	14.4	16.4	-2.02	16.3	15.3	0.99
Reggie Evans	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	5	0	16.6	15.4	1.20	17.7	13.7	4.02
Ronald Murray	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	9	-8	15.6	16.1	-0.47	16.3	15.3	0.98
Vitaly Potapenko	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	10	-10	17.5	15.0	2.53	18.4	13.7	4.71
Danny Fortson	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	14	-18	15.2	16.1	-0.90	15.5	15.5	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 85, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
DET 102, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.8%