NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	7.4 [336]		MVP	Courtney Alexander (WAS): +12.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.2 [1154]		LVP	Christian Laettner (WAS): -24.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Alexander	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	10	71%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	6	58%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	57%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	82%	0.06	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	27	56%	0.05	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.05
Jahidi White	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	11	44%	-0.05	4	-0.19	5	80%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.09	-0.00	34	51%	0.14	1	-0.05	13	77%	0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	6	58%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	8	50%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	64%	-0.02	3	-0.07	10	60%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	31.0	14.8	27.2	1.8	36.1	135.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +1.0%

PHI +1.6%

PHI +17.1%

PHI +26.6%

PHI +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	15.5	104.1	109.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.7		98.6	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.2		97.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	13.1	15.2	13.6	14.1
PHI	15.3	13.6	16.8	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	52	54	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-8	11	14.6	13.5	1.10	15.6	15.0	0.68
Loy Vaught	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-6	7	15.0	14.0	1.03	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Jahidi White	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-3	1	14.3	13.9	0.39	15.7	15.1	0.54
Popeye Jones	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-12	19	13.4	14.5	-1.11	15.4	15.3	0.10
Laron Profit	7	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	1	-7	12.4	14.2	-1.76	12.5	15.5	-3.01
Hubert Davis	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-8	11	14.0	14.1	-0.15	15.0	15.6	-0.56
Michael Smith	42	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	5	-15	14.5	13.7	0.81	16.6	14.4	2.15
Richard Hamilton	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	14.2	13.2	0.99	15.6	13.9	1.63
Courtney Alexander	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-4	3	13.2	15.7	-2.53	14.3	17.2	-2.91
Mitch Richmond	47	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	8	-21	14.8	13.4	1.35	16.3	14.5	1.83
Christian Laettner	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	1	-7	13.9	14.5	-0.62	14.7	17.1	-2.41

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	71	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-5	15	15.8	14.0	1.78	14.6	12.4	2.18
Eric Snow	73	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-8	21	15.8	13.8	2.05	14.4	12.9	1.49
Tyrone Hill	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-3	11	15.4	15.2	0.19	14.8	12.4	2.45
Allen Iverson	92	92	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	0	5	15.6	11.3	4.25	14.1	13.8	0.24
Aaron McKie	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	0	5	14.9	16.3	-1.39	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Kevin Ollie	6	5	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	4	-3	7.3	15.8	-8.51	13.2	14.1	-0.91
George Lynch	57	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	10	-15	15.8	14.7	1.11	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Rodney Buford	28	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	12	-19	13.6	16.0	-2.41	13.7	14.2	-0.55
Matt Geiger	25	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	10	-15	15.2	15.4	-0.22	12.7	14.5	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	93.6%
BOS 83, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.94,0.97,1,1	93.1%
NOH 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.0%