inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 82 Excitement3.9 [996] MVPOlden Polynice (UTA): +6.5%
Utah Jazz 99 Comeback1.4 [1164] LVPChris Crawford (ATL): -10.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.011157%0.0200.00667%-0.01
Cal Bowdler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pepe Sanchez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Hanno Mottola-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.05643%-0.012-0.002100%0.00
Dion Glover-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.01969%0.054-0.09850%-0.04
DerMarr Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.04735%-0.053-0.02367%0.00
Jason Terry-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011854%0.046-0.11580%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0240%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.100,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.010.00833%-0.062-0.0420%-0.04
Chris Crawford-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.02740%-0.025-0.0810%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Olden Polynice0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.005100%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01367%0.0400.0000%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00558%0.0300.00250%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.031258%0.084-0.0700%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.021458%0.053-0.05887%0.02
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01756%-0.012-0.014100%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03750%0.022-0.05667%0.01
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02844%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.010.05959%-0.021-0.034100%0.02
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02420%-0.051-0.0120%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +19.4%
UTA +17.0%
UTA +2.2%
UTA +11.1%
UTA +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLUTANBAATLUTANBA
this game15.014.415.582.0103.1100.9
season15.416.096.0105.3
opponent15.515.1100.5101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.516.415.814.315.0
UTA16.013.613.514.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cal Bowdler880.00-0.500.50-0.031-18199.615.5-5.8413.214.5-1.23
Hanno Mottola3333-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-171713.915.6-1.6713.215.0-1.86
Pepe Sanchez1817-0.02-0.480.470.10-4-13913.215.4-2.2413.414.6-1.17
DerMarr Johnson5453-0.07-0.430.37-0.184-212514.116.1-1.9715.113.51.52
Dion Glover2726-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-161515.414.90.5113.514.7-1.15
Lorenzen Wright5247-0.21-0.290.090.09-10-7-314.815.2-0.3615.313.51.72
Nazr Mohammed5453-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-6-11514.915.2-0.3213.115.9-2.82
Chris Crawford5250-0.30-0.20-0.100.05-12-5-715.514.51.0015.912.73.22
Jason Terry8075-0.44-0.06-0.370.03-16-1-1515.114.70.3113.617.1-3.54
Alan Henderson7168-0.520.02-0.540.07-203-2315.912.83.1114.713.70.98
Brevin Knight5150-0.550.05-0.600.07-214-2516.513.53.0015.113.51.60

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Stockton54570.440.060.39-0.2022-52714.014.8-0.8115.813.91.88
Bryon Russell65650.400.100.29-0.071611514.314.6-0.3016.212.83.34
Karl Malone54570.400.100.29-0.041521313.915.0-1.0715.614.21.43
Donyell Marshall60630.330.170.16-0.081431113.915.1-1.1814.515.8-1.24
Olden Polynice41430.250.250.01-0.0198114.614.20.4514.815.1-0.29
Greg Ostertag47490.250.25-0.01-0.0298114.314.4-0.0716.014.02.00
John Starks47510.210.29-0.090.06512-714.714.00.6814.715.3-0.68
Danny Manning42420.100.40-0.29-0.01413-915.013.91.0714.115.6-1.52
John Crotty22220.060.44-0.370.09-118-1914.214.4-0.1913.315.5-2.21
Jacque Vaughn32330.060.44-0.390.11-219-2115.913.62.2515.115.00.14
DeShawn Stevenson890.000.50-0.500.09-320-2313.214.5-1.2310.415.5-5.01
Scott Padgett890.000.50-0.500.09-320-2313.214.5-1.2310.415.5-5.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 105, WAS 1270.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
VAN 89, HOU 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
LAC 86, MIN 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%