NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	120		Excitement	10.3 [39]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +24.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	123		Comeback	16.5 [41]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -21.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24	-0.03	0.28	0.00	12	50%	0.30	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	11	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,-0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	25	60%	0.20	3	-0.17	8	87%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.02	0.04	17	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	14	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	3	0%	-0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	-0.01	10	62%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.09
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	7	61%	0.16	0	0.00	9	67%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	14	68%	0.16	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.05
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.08	0.04	20	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	11	46%	-0.05	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	-0.00	17	61%	0.11	6	-0.33	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	24.0	15.8	27.1	2.8	48.5	0.8	15.0	1.6	15.7	176.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -1.4%

LAC +48.2%

LAC +18.9%

POR -8.8%

POR -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	15.5	108.1	109.8	100.9
season	15.8	16.1		103.9	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.1	18.5	16.0	11.3	16.4	14.8
LAC	18.0	16.7	17.4	13.9	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	79	82	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.04	7	-10	17	14.8	14.5	0.37	16.7	15.9	0.83
Shawn Kemp	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-3	3	13.2	14.8	-1.65	21.7	16.1	5.59
Dale Davis	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	2	-7	17.2	13.3	3.90	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Steven Smith	62	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	14.9	14.6	0.32	15.6	17.7	-2.09
Arvydas Sabonis	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	8	-19	14.8	14.7	0.08	19.3	15.3	3.97
Scottie Pippen	95	96	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-5	7	14.7	15.0	-0.32	16.7	14.8	1.94
Damon Stoudamire	87	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	0	-3	13.6	18.7	-5.08	16.1	17.7	-1.52
Rasheed Wallace	102	103	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	14.5	17.1	-2.59	15.7	24.8	-9.03
Detlef Schrempf	42	39	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.52	-1	-2	1	14.6	14.8	-0.14	16.5	16.4	0.10

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	80	79	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.63	4	-1	5	16.4	16.7	-0.39	13.7	17.3	-3.63
Michael Olowokandi	81	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.38	5	-2	7	16.1	17.3	-1.17	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Jeff McInnis	93	92	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-1	5	16.6	16.1	0.51	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Lamar Odom	98	96	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	16.7	14.6	2.17	14.5	16.1	-1.55
Corey Maggette	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	-10	23	16.3	16.6	-0.33	16.7	12.9	3.77
Darius Miles	62	60	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.32	-4	7	-11	15.5	17.6	-2.11	14.7	14.8	-0.14
Cherokee Parks	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	-3	9	18.3	15.7	2.66	14.9	14.6	0.30
Sean Rooks	19	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	17.8	16.2	1.65	17.5	14.1	3.38
Quentin Richardson	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	15.0	16.6	-1.60	15.7	14.6	1.07
Keyon Dooling	24	24	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.27	-6	9	-15	14.7	17.0	-2.30	13.9	15.0	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,1,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.33,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.33,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, NYK 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.16,1	88.2%
MIL 85, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	87.3%
SAS 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	87.2%