NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	7.6 [334]		MVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): +35.3%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	14.5 [114]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -16.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.1	0.15	0.03	0.08	13	79%	0.19	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.3,0.09	-0.10	0.14	-0.05	17	59%	0.40	7	-0.31	17	82%	0.04
Slava Medvedenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tierre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	60%	0.02	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	12	54%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.03	0.07	20	53%	-0.04	5	-0.13	9	78%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.35	0.35	0.22	0.12	-0.01	19	78%	0.36	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	14	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	18	41%	-0.11	4	-0.04	10	80%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	27.4	17.3	26.6	3.2	40.7	1.8	20.1	160.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -28.1%

NYK +4.9%

LAL -1.2%

NYK +61.1%

NYK +13.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	15.5	110.6	113.6	104.0
season	15.7	15.8		105.8	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.5	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.5	17.3	16.4	13.0	18.3	15.5
NYK	14.9	15.3	16.4	15.2	13.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	26	26	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.11	3	-5	8	15.5	15.5	-0.04	15.7	15.0	0.61
Slava Medvedenko	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-6	10	14.8	15.6	-0.79	18.3	14.8	3.45
Tierre Brown	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	15.4	15.5	-0.11	12.5	15.4	-2.86
Jumaine Jones	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-1	0	16.0	15.3	0.67	16.1	14.7	1.35
Brian Grant	51	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.46	6	-8	14	15.6	15.4	0.23	15.2	15.2	0.03
Caron Butler	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-1	0	15.3	16.0	-0.67	14.7	16.1	-1.35
Chucky Atkins	91	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	15.5	15.5	-0.01	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Lamar Odom	97	97	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-3	4	15.5	15.4	0.11	15.4	12.5	2.86
Chris Mihm	41	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	12	-26	15.7	15.4	0.21	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Kobe Bryant	92	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	4	-10	15.5	15.7	-0.25	14.8	18.0	-3.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-11	24	15.1	15.3	-0.15	14.6	16.8	-2.27
Stephon Marbury	83	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-4	10	14.9	16.3	-1.43	15.5	15.8	-0.40
Tim Thomas	80	82	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-3	8	14.9	16.3	-1.37	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Jamal Crawford	71	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-11	24	15.4	14.7	0.74	15.8	14.9	0.85
Kurt Thomas	83	84	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.37	-1	3	-4	15.0	15.9	-0.88	15.2	16.7	-1.45
Malik Rose	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	5	-8	15.7	15.0	0.67	16.2	15.3	0.83
Jerome Williams	3	3	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-3	8	10.3	15.3	-5.01	20.7	15.4	5.29
Trevor Ariza	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	5	-8	16.3	14.9	1.37	16.0	15.4	0.60
Anfernee Hardaway	62	63	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.42	-15	17	-32	14.8	15.8	-0.97	15.7	15.2	0.47
Maurice Taylor	23	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	12	-22	17.4	14.6	2.83	16.6	15.2	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 120, LAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,1,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.46,0.33,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.33,0.26,1	88.2%
CHI 105, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.55,0.41,1	87.0%
ATL 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	87.0%