NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	4.8 [836]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +6.9%
Vancouver Grizzlies	86		Comeback	1.0 [875]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -9.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	19	60%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Brian Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	57%	0.07	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	68%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	17	41%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	13	39%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	26.2	15.6	23.8	2.0	34.2	127.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +46.4%

VAN -8.5%

MIA +9.5%

MIA +1.1%

MIA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	VAN	NBA	MIA	VAN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.5	105.4	93.5	100.9
season	16.3	15.6		98.4	97.4
opponent	15.1	16.1		103.4	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.9	17.4	19.7	13.1	16.2
VAN	14.7	16.1	16.3	13.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	56	57	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.11	14	-3	17	14.5	19.0	-4.49	15.8	13.9	1.90
Eddie Jones	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	3	5	17.2	13.4	3.80	14.5	16.8	-2.34
A.C. Green	41	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-5	21	15.7	16.7	-1.05	16.3	13.9	2.36
Anthony Mason	76	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	7	-3	16.9	12.9	4.07	14.6	17.2	-2.55
Dan Majerle	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	4	3	13.5	18.9	-5.39	15.2	15.0	0.22
Bruce Bowen	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	17.7	14.1	3.59	15.6	14.3	1.28
Brian Grant	67	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	9	-7	15.8	17.4	-1.65	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Tim Hardaway	51	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	14	-17	17.7	14.4	3.38	14.4	15.9	-1.47

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	14	14	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-16	21	15.4	15.0	0.34	11.3	17.1	-5.84
Stromile Swift	15	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-7	3	16.1	14.9	1.20	16.6	16.2	0.48
Bryant Reeves	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	14.1	17.2	-3.13	17.1	14.4	2.68
Ike Austin	17	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	16.5	14.7	1.72	13.2	17.0	-3.82
Damon Jones	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-3	-5	16.4	14.4	1.95	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Grant Long	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	17.0	14.3	2.71	13.2	17.4	-4.19
Michael Dickerson	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	14.5	17.2	-2.73	17.3	12.2	5.10
Othella Harrington	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	15.1	15.0	0.10	17.0	14.8	2.19
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.85	16.7	13.6	3.06
Mike Bibby	84	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	3	-17	14.8	17.5	-2.67	16.0	18.9	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, NYK 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAS 107, MIN 96	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 94, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	95.0%