NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	6.9 [424]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +24.5%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	1.8 [398]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -24.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	6	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	23	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	54%	-0.01	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	14	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	12	38%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.24	0.14	0.10	0.00	15	73%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	22	53%	0.08	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	14	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.24,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.18	-0.09	-0.02	21	33%	-0.13	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.6	1.8	28.8	14.8	22.0	1.8	29.5	118.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +36.5%

SAC -1.5%

DEN +13.6%

SAC -6.3%

DEN +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DEN	NBA	SAC	DEN	NBA
this game	12.1	16.2	15.5	90.3	105.0	100.9
season	14.4	15.2		103.1	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.1	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.5	11.0	14.3	12.1	12.1
DEN	14.2	15.3	18.4	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	8.0	12.2	-4.17	26.0	16.1	9.91
Darrick Martin	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	8.0	12.2	-4.17	26.0	16.1	9.91
Vlade Divac	61	62	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-15	17	12.7	11.2	1.43	16.0	16.5	-0.45
Jon Barry	34	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-12	11	11.7	12.3	-0.61	16.7	16.0	0.71
Hedo Turkoglu	47	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-10	7	11.0	13.0	-2.00	17.3	15.3	2.00
Bobby Jackson	37	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-9	5	12.1	12.1	-0.05	15.8	16.4	-0.64
Jason Williams	64	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	12.2	11.8	0.39	16.3	16.1	0.22
Scot Pollard	43	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	11.4	12.6	-1.19	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Doug Christie	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	12.3	11.7	0.61	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Peja Stojakovic	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	3	-19	12.5	11.4	1.10	16.0	16.6	-0.67
Chris Webber	91	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	0	-13	12.4	9.8	2.55	16.2	16.2	-0.07

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	89	91	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-4	21	16.0	17.3	-1.30	12.1	12.3	-0.28
Nick Van Exel	92	95	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-2	17	16.1	17.4	-1.38	12.1	11.7	0.37
James Posey	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-1	15	16.0	16.8	-0.81	12.2	11.7	0.56
George McCloud	56	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	1	11	16.3	16.1	0.22	11.4	13.0	-1.55
Mark Strickland	45	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	6	1	16.2	16.1	0.10	12.5	11.8	0.67
Voshon Lenard	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	11	-9	16.9	15.1	1.77	12.8	11.0	1.82
Ryan Bowen	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	9	-5	17.5	16.2	1.34	8.0	12.2	-4.17
Raef LaFrentz	65	66	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	17	-21	16.2	16.1	0.12	12.1	12.0	0.14
Robert Pack	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	15	-17	15.3	16.4	-1.04	10.5	12.4	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%
DEN 88, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	93.6%
MIA 82, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.5%