NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	7.8 [251]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +50.3%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.1 [865]		LVP	Mark Jackson (TOR): -29.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27	0.07	0.20	0.00	18	56%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	13	66%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.16	-0.13	-0.00	20	32%	-0.19	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,0.04,0.5	0.50	-0.04	0.54	-0.00	6	33%	0.52	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	18	59%	0.17	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	19	57%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.3	-0.30	-0.12	-0.18	0.00	8	31%	-0.16	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.3	24.3	16.6	26.5	2.5	30.7	123.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.3%

SEA -0.0%

SEA -2.6%

SEA -7.6%

TOR +11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	TOR	NBA	SEA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	103.4	105.6	100.9
season	15.2	15.8		103.8	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.5	14.4	13.9	17.8	15.8
TOR	14.6	16.3	16.1	20.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	39	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.35	12	-14	26	15.4	16.1	-0.74	17.2	16.1	1.06
Brent Barry	45	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-16	30	15.6	16.0	-0.35	17.6	15.5	2.05
Vin Baker	63	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-13	24	15.3	16.8	-1.51	17.4	14.8	2.59
Ruben Patterson	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-2	2	16.4	15.0	1.38	17.1	16.0	1.11
Jelani McCoy	26	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	11	-24	16.8	15.3	1.51	14.8	17.4	-2.59
Patrick Ewing	26	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	11	-24	16.8	15.3	1.51	14.8	17.4	-2.59
Rashard Lewis	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	1	-4	15.1	17.4	-2.27	16.6	16.5	0.06
Emanual Davis	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	12	-26	16.0	15.5	0.52	15.6	18.1	-2.47
Gary Payton	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	15.7	16.1	-0.37	16.7	15.9	0.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	73	73	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.59	12	-10	22	16.2	18.6	-2.41	16.8	11.1	5.67
Morris Peterson	77	76	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-9	20	16.0	20.4	-4.43	16.1	13.6	2.53
Mark Jackson	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-6	14	17.1	14.2	2.90	15.8	15.6	0.28
Kevin Willis	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.30	5	-3	8	16.4	17.4	-0.96	15.4	17.6	-2.18
Alvin Williams	29	30	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.59	-7	9	-16	17.4	16.2	1.18	17.2	15.1	2.10
Vince Carter	78	78	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	3	-4	16.1	20.0	-3.90	15.3	19.2	-3.89
Dell Curry	11	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	7	-12	18.5	16.3	2.13	12.7	16.2	-3.50
Corliss Williamson	32	32	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	15	-28	18.0	15.8	2.16	14.3	16.6	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.74,1	92.7%
ATL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.78,0.85,1	92.7%
GSW 108, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.58,1	92.6%