NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	115		Excitement	5.8 [632]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +34.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	119		Comeback	1.4 [1091]		LVP	Jerome Kersey (MIL): -7.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.34	0.28	0.12	0.06	21	81%	0.36	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	16	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.07	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.08	11	72%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	18	59%	0.02	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	11	68%	0.15	4	-0.09	16	94%	0.07
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	17	66%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	59%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.5	30.3	15.5	25.4	2.5	44.5	142.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.0%

POR +11.5%

POR +3.8%

MIL -10.6%

POR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	15.1	15.5	117.3	120.2	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		105.9	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.8		100.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.3	16.8	15.6	11.8	14.2
POR	16.1	16.7	15.0	13.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	1	2	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-6	8	4.0	14.3	-10.26	19.5	15.0	4.51
Jerome Kersey	13	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-8	12	16.8	13.7	3.10	16.0	14.9	1.06
Ray Allen	58	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-10	16	12.5	16.5	-4.05	15.2	15.0	0.18
Mark Pope	6	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	17.8	13.9	3.92	11.0	15.3	-4.34
Tim Thomas	79	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-11	18	13.2	18.2	-5.03	15.1	14.8	0.31
Jason Caffey	50	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	3	-10	14.1	14.2	-0.11	15.8	14.3	1.53
Scott Williams	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	5	-14	13.3	14.4	-1.14	17.0	14.5	2.53
Glenn Robinson	85	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	13.9	15.5	-1.60	15.2	14.1	1.14
Ervin Johnson	37	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	6	-16	17.9	11.9	6.05	13.7	15.8	-2.07
Sam Cassell	88	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	13.9	16.4	-2.50	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Lindsey Hunter	49	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	6	-16	15.2	13.1	2.06	14.1	16.0	-1.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	69	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-11	26	14.9	15.6	-0.74	13.9	14.7	-0.76
Dale Davis	35	36	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-17	38	14.9	15.2	-0.21	16.8	12.6	4.15
Shawn Kemp	37	37	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	-4	12	14.9	15.2	-0.26	16.2	12.9	3.36
Bonzi Wells	79	77	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	8	-12	14.6	17.1	-2.53	14.2	14.1	0.01
Greg Anthony	30	31	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	-2	8	15.4	14.9	0.46	16.0	13.3	2.65
Rasheed Wallace	82	81	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	11	-18	15.4	13.8	1.59	13.5	17.2	-3.66
Damon Stoudamire	60	59	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	8	-12	14.8	15.5	-0.71	12.7	16.4	-3.71
Scottie Pippen	75	73	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	11	-18	15.3	14.3	0.99	13.6	15.8	-2.21
Arvydas Sabonis	28	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	12	-20	16.3	14.6	1.68	12.9	14.6	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.88,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, DAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
BOS 96, NOH 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.93,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.4%
TOR 122, POR 128	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	93.2%