NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	122		Excitement	6.4 [589]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +29.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	128		Comeback	1.3 [592]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -7.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	9	95%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	11	78%	0.31	4	-0.18	5	80%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	0.00	12	69%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	17	64%	0.10	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.01	10	96%	0.31	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.00	8	81%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	80%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	14	47%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	11	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	15	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.7	15.3	27.4	2.4	34.3	132.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -5.3%

POR +4.7%

POR +12.4%

POR +35.4%

POR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	14.3	124.5	129.3	109.3
season	14.3	14.9		111.5	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.5		109.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.2	15.0	14.4	13.0	14.1
POR	13.5	15.0	16.2	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	50	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-9	12	14.0	14.2	-0.17	15.1	15.1	0.05
Serge Ibaka	74	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-11	16	14.0	14.5	-0.44	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Danny Green	75	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-8	10	14.1	14.2	-0.12	14.7	16.5	-1.78
CJ Miles	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-6	6	13.0	15.0	-2.01	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Fred VanVleet	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-9	12	13.6	16.1	-2.55	15.4	14.0	1.33
Greg Monroe	24	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	5	-16	14.5	14.0	0.44	16.4	14.7	1.73
Kawhi Leonard	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	14.1	14.0	0.09	15.2	14.9	0.26
OG Anunoby	35	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	9	-24	15.6	13.3	2.30	15.6	14.8	0.74
Delon Wright	34	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	10	-26	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.4	15.0	0.46

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	44	42	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-10	26	15.3	15.0	0.29	14.9	13.5	1.41
Meyers Leonard	43	41	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-10	26	15.5	14.8	0.63	15.1	13.4	1.72
Zach Collins	43	41	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-10	26	15.5	14.8	0.63	15.1	13.4	1.72
Nik Stauskas	40	39	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-9	24	14.9	15.3	-0.35	15.2	13.4	1.76
Seth Curry	37	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-4	14	14.5	15.5	-0.95	15.0	13.6	1.37
Damian Lillard	62	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	10	-14	15.5	14.5	0.95	13.6	15.0	-1.37
CJ McCollum	59	59	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	15	-24	15.3	14.9	0.35	13.4	15.2	-1.76
Maurice Harkless	56	57	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	16	-26	14.8	15.5	-0.63	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Al-Farouq Aminu	56	57	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	16	-26	14.8	15.5	-0.63	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Jusuf Nurkic	55	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	16	-26	15.0	15.3	-0.29	13.5	14.9	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 98, BKN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIA 73, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
ATL 79, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%