NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	6.3 [532]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): +16.2%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	1.4 [770]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -18.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	17	60%	0.10	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Grant Long	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	57%	0.03	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Tony Battie	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.02	24	40%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.01	0.00	19	73%	0.20	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	100%	0.11	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	62%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	17	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	29.5	15.4	25.6	2.6	42.1	142.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +13.7%

NOH +4.6%

NOH +7.0%

NOH +20.2%

NOH +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.5	102.1	109.6	101.6
season	15.6	15.9		99.3	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	17.2	14.5	14.5	15.8
NOH	13.0	15.5	17.6	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	14	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	12.6	16.3	-3.75	10.7	15.5	-4.85
Grant Long	19	21	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	16.1	15.7	0.36	18.2	13.9	4.27
Tony Delk	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-5	3	13.2	17.2	-4.03	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Vin Baker	32	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-5	3	14.9	16.2	-1.35	15.7	14.5	1.20
Kedrick Brown	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	1	-9	15.5	15.8	-0.29	10.0	15.3	-5.33
Paul Pierce	86	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-8	9	15.8	15.5	0.29	15.3	10.0	5.33
Eric Williams	65	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-8	9	16.4	14.4	2.01	15.1	14.5	0.63
Tony Battie	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-4	1	16.8	14.1	2.68	15.4	14.0	1.44
J.R. Bremer	65	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	0	-7	16.6	13.9	2.75	14.7	15.2	-0.43
Antoine Walker	90	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	3	-13	15.8	16.0	-0.24	14.6	24.3	-9.77

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	79	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-4	15	14.6	16.1	-1.42	16.2	13.4	2.81
Elden Campbell	35	36	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-9	25	15.2	14.7	0.57	16.8	15.1	1.73
George Lynch	84	84	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	5	-3	14.5	18.1	-3.61	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Jerome Moiso	29	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-4	15	15.8	14.5	1.28	16.7	15.3	1.41
David Wesley	79	78	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	8	-9	14.5	16.9	-2.45	15.3	18.1	-2.84
Robert Traylor	25	25	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	9	-11	15.6	14.6	1.05	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Robert Pack	19	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-3	13	13.5	15.2	-1.69	16.1	15.7	0.42
P.J. Brown	65	63	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	11	-15	14.5	15.8	-1.28	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Courtney Alexander	12	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	1	5	16.8	14.6	2.25	17.8	15.5	2.37
Stacey Augmon	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	16.1	14.6	1.49	12.6	16.3	-3.75
Jamaal Magloire	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	16	-25	16.0	14.4	1.68	15.8	15.8	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.93,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
DEN 99, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,1	93.4%
ORL 88, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.72,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.94,1,1	93.4%