NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	9.3 [84]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +14.8%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	8.0 [177]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -24.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	80%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.07
Pat Garrity	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.08	-0.03	14	52%	0.02	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.11	-0.00	9	52%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Tracy McGrady	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.08,-0.16	0.06	-0.21	0.01	27	60%	0.11	4	-0.28	6	67%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.07	-0.05	7	67%	0.12	1	0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	17	54%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.13
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.04	-0.25	-0.01	18	59%	-0.04	2	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	-0.01	19	44%	-0.19	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	273.5	3.0	28.5	19.8	26.8	3.0	39.1	1.6	19.8	415.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -32.5%

NYK +42.8%

NYK +22.7%

NYK +16.5%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	19.0	15.5	101.1	106.7	100.9
season	14.6	16.4		101.6	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		96.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	13.8	18.4	16.5	16.9	16.4	16.4
NYK	19.0	17.6	17.8	21.0	21.7	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	49	49	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.12	10	-13	23	16.0	16.8	-0.81	19.3	18.6	0.66
John Amaechi	44	45	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.00	7	-10	17	15.8	16.9	-1.08	19.5	18.5	0.92
Monty Williams	31	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.30	-9	6	-15	17.2	15.9	1.33	17.6	19.7	-2.05
Troy Hudson	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	4	-11	16.0	16.4	-0.44	14.8	20.1	-5.31
Darrell Armstrong	73	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-6	9	16.4	16.0	0.44	20.1	14.8	5.31
Tracy McGrady	63	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-8	13	16.1	16.8	-0.68	20.5	15.4	5.12
Mike Miller	55	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.77	13	-16	29	15.7	17.4	-1.67	20.3	16.8	3.53
Bo Outlaw	58	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	12	-27	17.3	14.6	2.69	17.9	20.7	-2.76
Pat Garrity	20	19	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.27	-15	12	-27	15.6	16.5	-0.90	14.7	20.2	-5.50
Michael Doleac	44	42	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.65	-7	4	-11	16.9	15.9	0.99	18.5	19.5	-1.01

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	60	59	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.82	-5	8	-13	20.7	15.5	5.23	15.6	17.7	-2.01
Allan Houston	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	1	1	19.3	17.2	2.09	16.6	15.0	1.56
Marcus Camby	71	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	1	1	19.6	16.6	3.08	16.4	16.3	0.05
Latrell Sprewell	75	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	0	3	19.4	16.9	2.47	16.5	15.3	1.22
Chris Childs	53	53	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.23	-6	9	-15	20.0	17.6	2.35	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Kurt Thomas	53	53	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.40	15	-12	27	16.8	22.3	-5.53	17.0	15.5	1.46
Rick Brunson	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	3	-3	15.6	19.5	-3.85	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Luc Longley	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	3	-3	15.0	19.5	-4.52	16.5	16.3	0.12
Erick Strickland	27	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.15	1	2	-1	16.4	20.1	-3.68	16.3	16.4	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.24,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	88.4%
CHH 110, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.73,1	87.0%
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	86.7%