NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	4.2 [951]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +7.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	1.2 [540]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -8.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kornel David	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Dell Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	17	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	18	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	9	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	17	52%	-0.00	3	-0.08	14	64%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	75%	0.12	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	19	62%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	34.2	16.3	22.0	1.8	32.5	133.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +61.8%

TOR -7.3%

TOR -5.8%

LAC +1.2%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.5	101.0	112.2	100.9
season	15.8	16.1		103.7	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.8	13.8	16.1	15.3	15.2
LAC	13.0	12.9	16.6	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kornel David	35	37	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-18	23	13.6	16.1	-2.47	12.7	15.6	-2.84
Dell Curry	46	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-17	21	14.9	15.4	-0.51	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Alvin Williams	41	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-19	25	14.0	16.1	-2.01	15.0	14.1	0.83
Morris Peterson	54	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-11	9	14.6	15.9	-1.30	14.6	14.4	0.17
Tyrone Corbin	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-2	-9	16.9	14.6	2.30	15.6	14.1	1.51
Kevin Willis	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	15.8	13.6	2.21	15.1	12.9	2.27
Mark Jackson	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	6	-25	16.1	14.0	2.01	14.1	15.0	-0.83
Vince Carter	83	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	1	-15	14.8	17.7	-2.89	14.8	12.5	2.26
Charles Oakley	68	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.06	-23	10	-33	15.9	13.6	2.25	14.3	15.0	-0.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	62	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.12	26	-13	39	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.9	12.4	4.45
Darius Miles	79	78	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-8	29	14.6	14.2	0.42	15.4	14.3	1.06
Jeff McInnis	71	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-8	29	14.9	13.5	1.41	15.5	14.5	1.00
Lamar Odom	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	0	13	14.6	14.2	0.43	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Michael Olowokandi	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	-4	21	15.4	13.4	2.06	16.1	14.0	2.17
Sean Rooks	19	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	12	-11	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Eric Piatkowski	42	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	17	-21	15.0	14.1	0.92	15.0	15.4	-0.35
Keyon Dooling	27	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	21	-29	13.5	14.9	-1.41	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Cherokee Parks	35	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	21	-29	12.9	15.4	-2.51	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Corey Maggette	33	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.28	-14	27	-41	13.8	14.9	-1.12	12.5	16.5	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.65,0.58,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 127, BKN 144	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
HOU 82, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
POR 83, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%