NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	3.5 [1124]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (BOS): +26.8%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.0 [1246]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -9.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	74%	0.10	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Luther Head	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	9	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	50%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	61%	0.10	4	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.03	3	-0.04	8	37%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	5	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.25	0.02	0.00	19	80%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	16	56%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	32.0	15.7	30.3	1.7	30.2	137.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.1%

HOU -3.7%

BOS +5.4%

BOS +20.4%

HOU -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.6	88.2	108.5	104.4
season	16.1	14.8		99.9	103.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		104.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.3	14.7	17.9	14.5	16.2
BOS	14.6	16.0	13.4	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	2	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-20	20	18.0	16.2	1.80	23.0	14.4	8.61
Moochie Norris	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	16.9	16.2	0.67	15.0	14.5	0.45
Luther Head	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-19	18	16.2	16.3	-0.05	14.0	15.0	-1.03
Jon Barry	48	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-22	24	14.7	17.9	-3.20	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Dikembe Mutombo	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-18	16	18.4	15.8	2.66	15.2	14.5	0.74
Stromile Swift	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-23	26	15.2	17.5	-2.22	14.6	14.6	0.03
David Wesley	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-11	2	16.0	16.7	-0.74	14.1	15.4	-1.26
Tracy McGrady	51	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-6	-8	16.8	15.6	1.17	14.7	14.4	0.28
Rafer Alston	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-3	-14	16.1	16.4	-0.26	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Yao Ming	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-5	-10	16.0	16.6	-0.52	15.1	13.8	1.25
Derek Anderson	34	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	0	-20	16.9	15.9	1.02	15.0	14.3	0.67
Juwan Howard	41	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.34	-28	8	-36	17.9	14.9	2.94	14.2	14.9	-0.74

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	66	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	-5	30	15.7	12.0	3.67	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Mark Blount	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.17	23	-3	26	15.1	13.7	1.36	16.8	15.3	1.49
Paul Pierce	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.17	23	-3	26	14.7	14.0	0.75	16.1	16.8	-0.68
Delonte West	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.09	19	1	18	15.3	13.1	2.16	16.7	15.3	1.47
Ricky Davis	76	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	4	12	14.9	13.3	1.60	15.7	18.3	-2.63
Ryan Gomes	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	18	-16	13.2	15.4	-2.28	16.8	15.9	0.95
Al Jefferson	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	21	-22	12.6	15.2	-2.53	16.8	16.1	0.68
Brian Scalabrine	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	19	-18	13.7	14.8	-1.07	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Dan Dickau	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	20	-20	13.1	15.4	-2.28	15.0	17.0	-2.00
Orien Greene	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	15.0	14.5	0.45	16.9	16.2	0.67
Kendrick Perkins	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	23	-26	13.0	14.7	-1.70	16.9	16.2	0.67
Justin Reed	11	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	24	-28	13.1	14.8	-1.68	17.3	16.1	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 73, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
UTA 83, SAC 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAC 102, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%