NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	7.9 [236]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +16.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	14.9 [53]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -36.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	10	84%	0.21	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Danny Manning	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	6	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.08
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
John Starks	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	9	60%	0.03	4	-0.21	12	100%	0.13
Karl Malone	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	18	46%	-0.15	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	16	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	11	52%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	7	45%	-0.12	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.36,-0.37	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.00	20	45%	-0.07	5	-0.29	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.6	15.7	23.0	1.7	45.5	138.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -3.5%

UTA +48.5%

MIN -9.9%

UTA +17.4%

MIN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	15.5	104.3	97.9	100.9
season	16.0	15.0		105.3	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.7	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	15.9	15.8	12.3	15.3
MIN	14.0	16.8	14.2	16.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	49	48	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.27	27	-21	48	14.2	16.4	-2.11	16.5	14.2	2.37
John Stockton	64	65	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.34	19	-13	32	14.1	17.6	-3.49	15.3	15.5	-0.14
Donyell Marshall	56	56	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.24	20	-14	34	14.8	15.9	-1.03	16.0	14.5	1.53
Bryon Russell	64	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	4	-2	14.4	17.0	-2.56	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Karl Malone	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	7	-8	14.4	18.4	-3.99	14.3	19.2	-4.96
DeShawn Stevenson	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	-2	10	17.1	15.0	2.10	21.1	14.5	6.53
Greg Ostertag	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.10	5	1	4	17.6	14.9	2.74	19.3	14.8	4.55
David Benoit	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	4	-2	19.9	14.9	4.97	19.1	15.0	4.09
Jacque Vaughn	30	29	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.02	-13	19	-32	17.6	14.1	3.49	15.5	15.3	0.14
John Starks	57	57	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	0.07	-20	26	-46	16.2	13.9	2.29	13.7	18.0	-4.27
Olden Polynice	44	44	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	0.01	-19	25	-44	16.4	14.2	2.21	14.4	16.2	-1.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	33	33	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.01	15	-21	36	13.4	16.5	-3.07	17.4	14.1	3.30
Sam Mitchell	31	31	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.03	14	-20	34	15.6	15.3	0.34	14.3	15.7	-1.44
William Avery	20	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-8	10	16.3	15.1	1.16	17.5	14.6	2.85
Chauncey Billups	43	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	15.7	15.1	0.62	15.4	15.1	0.25
Rasho Nesterovic	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	3	-12	17.2	14.3	2.89	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Kevin Garnett	76	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-5	4	15.0	17.1	-2.14	14.7	17.6	-2.91
Anthony Peeler	52	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	14.9	16.0	-1.12	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Terrell Brandon	74	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	2	-10	15.1	16.3	-1.16	14.6	17.5	-2.85
Wally Szczerbiak	59	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	7	-20	14.9	16.2	-1.30	15.6	14.6	1.09
LaPhonso Ellis	47	46	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.29	-22	16	-38	16.8	14.0	2.81	15.2	15.3	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.79,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.42,0	93.5%
DEN 107, NOK 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.55,0.63,0	91.6%
OKC 100, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.74,0	91.5%