NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	78		Excitement	7.1 [376]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +9.1%
Toronto Raptors	72		Comeback	2.5 [160]		LVP	Charles Oakley (TOR): -18.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	17	47%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Roshown McLeod	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.05	0.02	12	70%	0.18	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	16	35%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	10	20%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	19	51%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	60%	0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	15	44%	-0.10	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	19	37%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	15	27%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	23.5	16.5	20.4	2.3	33.5	120.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +54.0%

ATL +13.9%

TOR -12.3%

TOR -5.3%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.5	86.7	80.9	100.9
season	15.4	15.8		96.0	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	15.0	18.8	18.3	16.6
TOR	15.9	16.3	14.8	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	76	75	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-6	18	16.6	16.6	0.05	15.7	14.9	0.84
Dikembe Mutombo	76	75	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-6	18	16.6	16.6	0.05	15.7	14.9	0.84
Roshown McLeod	75	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-4	14	16.9	15.1	1.85	15.6	15.5	0.08
Lorenzen Wright	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	4	-2	17.4	14.1	3.22	15.3	16.6	-1.34
Matt Maloney	69	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	8	-10	17.2	14.6	2.66	14.9	17.5	-2.57
Anthony Johnson	21	22	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-2	10	14.6	17.2	-2.66	17.5	14.9	2.57
DerMarr Johnson	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	13.9	16.9	-3.05	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Hanno Mottola	33	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.13	-2	8	-10	15.8	17.1	-1.35	16.2	15.2	1.03
Larry Robinson	21	21	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.10	-9	15	-24	15.6	16.9	-1.29	14.9	15.8	-0.86

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.8	-0.60	16.4	16.7	-0.27
Kevin Willis	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	16.4	15.3	1.03	14.8	17.1	-2.29
Morris Peterson	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	15.7	15.5	0.24	14.7	17.2	-2.46
Dell Curry	6	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-6	6	18.7	15.3	3.33	14.4	16.8	-2.45
Mark Jackson	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-3	0	15.2	16.9	-1.79	17.3	14.2	3.10
Alvin Williams	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	15.8	15.0	0.88	16.7	16.5	0.14
Antonio Davis	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	15.4	16.7	-1.28	16.9	14.3	2.66
Vince Carter	82	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	0	-6	15.6	15.6	-0.01	16.6	17.1	-0.56
Charles Oakley	80	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	15.5	16.0	-0.49	16.9	13.9	3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.1,0	92.6%
NOH 100, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.26,0	92.0%
DET 87, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.05,0	92.0%