NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	5.9 [603]		MVP	Dana Barros (DET): +16.6%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.3 [732]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -13.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	67%	0.13	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trajan Langdon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	0.05	14	48%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	18	28%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	14	52%	-0.02	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.01	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	6	93%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	7	81%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	11	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	53%	0.02	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	12	19%	-0.13	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	30.0	16.4	25.5	2.3	33.7	133.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +75.4%

CLE -20.5%

CLE -20.3%

DET +16.4%

CLE -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	13.3	15.5	96.9	103.0	100.9
season	15.3	14.3		98.4	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	17.8	16.5	15.2	16.1
DET	11.6	12.4	15.5	14.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	36	36	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-17	24	15.6	16.4	-0.81	12.5	13.7	-1.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	64	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-18	26	15.8	16.7	-0.94	15.1	10.1	5.07
Robert Traylor	15	16	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-10	10	14.7	16.4	-1.75	11.8	13.6	-1.77
Trajan Langdon	15	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-5	0	14.2	16.5	-2.31	11.3	13.7	-2.42
Brevin Knight	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-6	2	15.0	16.8	-1.83	13.3	13.3	0.05
Andre Miller	60	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	16.8	15.0	1.83	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Clar. Weatherspoon	79	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	16.7	13.5	3.18	13.3	13.1	0.22
Matt Harpring	84	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	3	-16	16.5	13.6	2.93	13.3	13.1	0.25
Lamond Murray	69	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.22	-13	3	-16	16.5	15.3	1.18	13.8	12.0	1.81
Chris Gatling	34	34	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.04	-21	11	-32	17.1	15.6	1.41	10.5	14.7	-4.24

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	66	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-5	20	14.2	11.5	2.77	17.1	14.3	2.80
Dana Barros	64	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	2	6	12.4	15.0	-2.61	16.5	15.5	1.08
Mateen Cleaves	47	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.15	10	0	10	12.3	14.2	-1.97	16.5	15.9	0.60
Jud Buechler	48	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	1	8	13.2	13.4	-0.18	15.3	16.9	-1.53
Joe Smith	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	9	-8	13.8	12.8	1.03	15.3	17.1	-1.78
Jerome Williams	49	48	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	5	0	12.9	13.7	-0.87	16.5	15.8	0.75
Eric Montross	32	29	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	4	2	13.2	13.3	-0.12	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Michael Curry	35	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	8	-6	14.9	12.5	2.40	16.3	16.0	0.29
Chucky Atkins	56	53	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	11	-12	14.2	12.2	1.96	15.3	17.2	-1.97
John Wallace	36	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	10	-10	11.6	14.2	-2.60	16.2	16.1	0.03
Mikki Moore	16	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	15	-20	13.7	13.2	0.54	17.4	15.9	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.0%
CLE 88, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	94.0%
MIA 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.85,1,1	93.7%