NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	79		Excitement	8.0 [204]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +11.5%
New York Knicks	75		Comeback	1.8 [438]		LVP	Glen Rice (NYK): -30.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	23	51%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	9	55%	-0.01	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.03	-0.10	-0.02	13	43%	-0.02	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.02	9	64%	0.00	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.05
Antonio Davis	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.18	-0.12	-0.02	11	22%	-0.22	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.06	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	11	45%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	19	50%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.31	-0.31	-0.09	-0.23	-0.01	12	33%	-0.28	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	3.4	29.0	16.8	29.2	2.7	30.5	133.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.7%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +28.6%

TOR +3.6%

NYK -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.5	87.8	83.3	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		103.7	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	16.0	17.2	17.5	16.3
NYK	15.5	15.3	17.0	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	72	72	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.39	14	-10	24	16.0	17.2	-1.18	16.8	11.6	5.21
Mark Jackson	78	76	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-5	14	16.2	16.6	-0.35	15.5	16.9	-1.34
Charles Oakley	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-2	8	16.3	16.1	0.23	15.4	17.8	-2.48
Vince Carter	84	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-2	8	16.4	14.8	1.55	16.0	10.6	5.42
Corliss Williamson	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	17.0	14.6	2.37	16.4	14.2	2.14
Morris Peterson	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	14.3	16.9	-2.59	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Alvin Williams	24	25	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	12	-20	16.0	16.4	-0.44	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Kevin Willis	31	31	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.00	-12	16	-28	16.7	16.0	0.71	14.2	16.5	-2.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	29	27	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.03	8	-12	20	15.0	16.1	-1.07	18.0	15.5	2.46
Kurt Thomas	50	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-5	6	15.2	16.3	-1.13	16.8	15.6	1.13
Allan Houston	39	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-5	6	15.3	16.0	-0.73	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Larry Johnson	72	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-6	8	15.1	18.2	-3.12	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Latrell Sprewell	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-5	6	15.9	13.9	2.02	16.8	11.0	5.79
Glen Rice	62	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	4	-12	16.1	14.9	1.20	16.5	15.7	0.82
Marcus Camby	58	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	7	-18	16.9	13.5	3.40	16.1	16.6	-0.53
Chris Childs	57	56	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	10	-24	15.7	15.7	0.04	15.2	18.1	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.19,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 104, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.27,0	92.3%
WAS 83, IND 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,0	91.8%
NOH 104, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.18,0	91.8%