inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Vancouver Grizzlies 100 Excitement9.2 [91] MVPLaPhonso Ellis (MIN): +59.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 101 Comeback7.5 [202] LVPKevin Garnett (MIN): -32.8%


Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Bibby0.300,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.30.210.110.021884%0.443-0.148100%0.07
Kevin Edwards0.260,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.26-0.020.27-0.011254%0.333-0.0700%0.00
Damon Jones0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.060.00683%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Stromile Swift0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.00859%0.0200.0010%-0.03
Grant Long0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.011463%0.092-0.09786%0.03
Ike Austin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Doug West-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.0110%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Bryant Reeves-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.01520%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Tony Massenburg-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.0000%-0.051-0.0420%-0.05
Othella Harrington-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.17-0.06-0.0040%-0.075-0.1500%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.590.590.050.540.001164%0.631-0.04367%0.02
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.210.210.120.08-0.011570%0.301-0.0900%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.001059%0.1000.00250%-0.01
William Avery0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Todd Day00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00825%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.070.011146%-0.0800.00250%-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.18-0.01-0.011327%-0.113-0.074100%0.02
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.33-0.33-0.06-0.270.011955%-0.165-0.166100%0.11
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.324.414.828.01.833.2127.2
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
VAN -31.3%
MIN +14.6%
MIN +28.4%
MIN +17.9%
MIN +20.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsVANMINNBAVANMINNBA
this game16.414.615.5107.5108.6100.9
season15.615.097.4102.9
opponent15.915.1101.7103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
VAN16.716.316.216.116.4
MIN13.314.312.619.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug West20190.08-0.580.66-0.044-5913.517.1-3.6415.314.40.82
Ike Austin21220.08-0.580.650.022-3516.116.4-0.3415.014.50.45
Othella Harrington4849-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-1117.415.22.1913.715.7-1.99
Tony Massenburg1111-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-10-113.716.7-2.9814.614.60.03
Damon Jones2929-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-54-915.116.9-1.8215.614.21.41
Bryant Reeves3737-0.24-0.260.010.02-98-1717.215.81.3412.815.8-2.99
Mike Bibby7777-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.445-61116.515.70.7314.813.90.89
Grant Long3635-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.455-61115.616.9-1.3016.013.82.18
Stromile Swift4240-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.38-10-115.417.1-1.7316.113.52.70
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7476-0.510.01-0.51-0.42-32-517.213.24.0214.216.6-2.49
Kevin Edwards7070-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-21-317.014.42.6114.315.6-1.27

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett69710.400.100.290.3710114.315.5-1.2016.316.6-0.31
LaPhonso Ellis57560.380.120.260.50-45-915.513.22.3615.617.4-1.79
Rasho Nesterovic57570.370.130.230.45-34-714.614.60.0017.115.11.98
Chauncey Billups59610.350.150.200.47-45-914.315.2-0.9817.015.21.73
Terrell Brandon63640.340.160.180.195-4914.315.3-1.0116.715.51.22
Wally Szczerbiak69700.220.28-0.050.056-51114.714.30.4315.818.0-2.19
Dean Garrett15130.130.37-0.23-0.046-51112.914.9-2.0817.716.11.55
William Avery21190.070.43-0.36-0.023-2514.714.60.1317.116.20.88
Anthony Peeler48480.050.45-0.410.10-23-515.313.81.4914.718.1-3.45
Sam Mitchell76-0.050.55-0.600.04-34-713.614.7-1.1321.016.04.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.78,0.84,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 91, LAL 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.91,192.9%
MEM 85, WAS 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.92,192.7%
MIA 94, ATL 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.84,0.77,192.6%