NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.6 [135]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +39.0%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	4.1 [312]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -34.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.39	0.12	0.28	0.01	18	64%	0.39	0	0.00	11	82%	0.04
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	8	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	17	58%	0.16	4	-0.24	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.20	-0.16	-0.01	15	25%	-0.29	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	5	67%	0.03	4	-0.13	8	75%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	4	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	7	25%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,0.03,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-0.00	20	64%	0.30	9	-0.53	5	80%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	7	22%	-0.17	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	32.7	17.8	24.3	2.3	37.7	140.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.5%

DET -3.9%

IND +6.6%

IND +28.1%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.7	12.4	15.5	93.9	88.0	100.9
season	15.9	14.3		99.3	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.3	15.6	16.2	16.9	16.7
DET	12.4	10.1	13.8	13.8	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	85	83	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-8	20	16.9	15.5	1.42	12.9	10.0	2.94
Travis Best	82	86	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-7	18	17.1	14.7	2.40	12.9	9.5	3.42
Austin Croshere	86	89	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-7	18	16.7	16.7	0.03	12.4	12.5	-0.12
Jermaine O'Neal	77	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-2	8	16.7	16.6	0.10	12.7	11.5	1.26
Sam Perkins	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-4	12	16.9	16.5	0.43	13.3	11.5	1.79
Jeff Foster	24	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-5	14	16.0	16.9	-0.92	13.2	12.2	1.03
Zan Tabak	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	6	-8	17.1	16.6	0.51	12.2	12.5	-0.35
Derrick McKey	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.19	-11	15	-26	15.1	17.1	-1.97	9.4	13.1	-3.73
Tyus Edney	11	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	15.0	16.9	-1.91	9.4	12.8	-3.38
Jonathan Bender	29	31	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.08	-16	20	-36	16.6	16.8	-0.20	10.0	13.5	-3.49

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mateen Cleaves	45	44	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.14	14	-18	32	10.3	14.2	-3.95	16.3	17.0	-0.72
Jud Buechler	27	26	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.17	13	-17	30	10.3	13.2	-2.94	16.1	16.9	-0.84
Eric Montross	38	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-4	4	13.3	11.9	1.41	16.5	16.8	-0.34
Mikki Moore	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-13	22	10.8	13.1	-2.30	19.0	15.8	3.18
Cedric Ceballos	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-9	14	11.8	13.0	-1.17	17.1	16.3	0.76
Michael Curry	50	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	2	-8	13.4	11.5	1.84	16.8	16.6	0.23
Ben Wallace	75	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	9	-22	12.7	11.7	0.96	16.5	17.2	-0.63
Jerome Williams	60	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	2	-8	12.2	12.8	-0.68	16.0	17.6	-1.57
Jerry Stackhouse	74	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.27	-16	12	-28	13.1	10.4	2.73	16.7	16.7	0.02
Chucky Atkins	55	55	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.23	-20	16	-36	14.2	10.3	3.95	16.8	16.6	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	91.1%
DET 105, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.58,0	90.1%
NYK 94, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.47,0.39,0.22,0.23,0.28,0	89.4%