NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	7.7 [291]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +31.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	4.2 [400]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): -29.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16	0.03	0.13	-0.00	8	78%	0.23	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
John Starks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,0.11,0.11	-0.04	0.15	-0.00	12	46%	0.24	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03
Buck Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	69%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	10	91%	0.20	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.05
Larry Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.03	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	16	48%	-0.04	2	-0.12	12	92%	0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.23	0.00	9	75%	0.34	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.01	20	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	0.02	7	53%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.14	-0.01	11	43%	-0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	7	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	7	33%	-0.10	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.13	-0.01	7	12%	-0.22	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.8	28.2	15.7	29.2	2.5	37.5	136.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +65.1%

NYK +11.6%

CLE -5.4%

CLE -16.0%

CLE -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	19.5	15.6	113.3	107.3	104.4
season	15.1	17.8		102.0	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.1		100.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	18.3	16.1	12.0	15.5
CLE	18.1	19.6	19.9	20.2	19.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	73	73	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.29	17	-11	28	15.4	16.1	-0.70	18.8	24.8	-5.98
Chris Childs	63	63	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-6	18	15.5	15.5	-0.02	18.3	23.1	-4.76
John Starks	48	48	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	3	0	13.8	17.8	-3.96	20.3	18.2	2.13
Charles Oakley	57	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-1	8	15.7	15.1	0.59	18.9	20.7	-1.72
Allan Houston	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	0	6	15.3	16.3	-0.98	19.6	18.7	0.90
Larry Johnson	51	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	8	-10	17.1	13.0	4.09	18.1	21.4	-3.35
Buck Williams	33	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	13	-20	15.7	15.4	0.31	22.3	17.6	4.69
Charlie Ward	20	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	12	-18	15.5	15.5	0.02	23.1	18.3	4.76

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawnelle Scott	2	4	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.00	7	-13	20	5.5	19.8	-14.30	12.2	15.6	-3.40
Donny Marshall	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-6	6	0.0	19.5	-19.45	7.0	15.6	-8.59
Antonio Lang	25	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-8	10	21.0	18.8	2.23	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Mark West	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	24.9	18.2	6.71	17.1	15.1	1.96
Vitaly Potapenko	36	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	0	-6	22.0	17.4	4.59	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Terrell Brandon	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	19.8	16.0	3.77	15.5	15.1	0.40
Tyrone Hill	64	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	18.4	23.3	-4.97	15.5	15.3	0.26
Bob Sura	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	0	-6	19.4	19.5	-0.05	15.3	19.0	-3.65
Danny Ferry	47	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	-1	-4	17.8	21.7	-3.85	15.6	15.4	0.17
Chris Mills	66	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	3	-12	18.5	23.4	-4.87	15.8	14.2	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.47,0.39,0.22,0.23,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,0	91.8%
MIL 92, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.1,0	91.6%
NYK 105, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.05,0	91.3%