NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	8.1 [227]		MVP	Chris Mullin (GSW): +16.2%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	4.3 [172]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -30.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0,0,0.11,0.14,0.15	0.09	0.10	0.03	20	72%	0.32	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.03
John Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	5	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
John Starks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	8	81%	0.34	5	-0.24	5	100%	0.05
Charles Oakley	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	6	87%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Larry Johnson	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	67%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Buck Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.01	5	33%	0.01	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.04
Allan Houston	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.21	-0.10	-0.01	10	29%	-0.14	6	-0.16	4	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	12	62%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.02	9	68%	0.11	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	9	64%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.02	17	65%	0.14	5	-0.23	6	83%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	0.00	11	56%	0.12	6	-0.21	10	100%	0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.2	15.6	31.5	1.0	36.0	138.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.3%

NYK +15.6%

NYK +11.4%

GSW -18.0%

NYK +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	13.7	16.5	15.6	109.4	105.3	104.4
season	15.1	15.0		102.0	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.1		109.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.0	16.1	13.8	13.2	13.7
GSW	17.5	16.6	16.8	15.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	77	76	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.36	18	-13	31	13.2	15.7	-2.50	16.2	17.6	-1.36
John Starks	56	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	3	-1	14.3	12.7	1.59	17.5	15.1	2.41
Charlie Ward	78	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-2	9	12.7	17.8	-5.12	15.9	19.1	-3.23
Larry Johnson	65	64	0.41	0.08	0.33	0.26	5	0	5	14.5	12.0	2.52	16.3	16.9	-0.56
Charles Oakley	72	71	0.25	0.24	0.01	0.16	3	2	1	12.9	16.0	-3.15	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Allan Houston	70	70	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	2	1	13.6	14.0	-0.44	15.8	18.4	-2.53
Buck Williams	34	34	-0.05	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	13	-21	15.3	12.8	2.55	17.4	16.0	1.43
John Wallace	28	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	10	-15	14.8	13.2	1.62	18.8	15.5	3.25

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Owes	18	19	0.23	-0.72	0.95	-0.00	8	-13	21	17.7	16.2	1.51	16.7	12.9	3.75
Donyell Marshall	22	22	0.05	-0.54	0.59	0.05	0	-5	5	18.5	15.9	2.55	15.5	13.1	2.36
Bimbo Coles	28	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.04	3	-8	11	19.8	15.1	4.72	15.4	12.9	2.54
B.J. Armstrong	35	36	-0.05	-0.44	0.39	-0.05	0	-5	5	18.5	15.3	3.24	14.4	13.2	1.18
Felton Spencer	10	10	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	19.3	16.2	3.14	9.7	14.1	-4.44
Chris Mullin	62	62	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-3	1	15.0	19.4	-4.44	13.2	14.6	-1.46
Mark Price	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	14.9	19.4	-4.50	12.7	15.4	-2.64
Joe Smith	89	88	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.2	20.5	-4.28	13.1	19.9	-6.76
Todd Fuller	71	72	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	6	-17	16.4	16.8	-0.40	14.4	11.6	2.74
Latrell Sprewell	79	80	-0.69	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	6	-17	16.1	18.6	-2.49	13.1	16.5	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, VAN 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.1,0	92.6%
CLE 97, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.27,0	92.5%
ORL 86, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,0.02,0	92.1%