NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	108		Excitement	4.9 [823]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +10.1%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	1.1 [516]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -5.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.05	0.03	20	62%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	25	49%	0.01	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	5	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	90%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	14	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	28	52%	0.06	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	15	34%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	25.2	15.5	22.4	2.6	28.3	121.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +9.4%

DET +12.0%

DET +13.3%

DET +12.4%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	15.5	111.3	94.9	100.9
season	14.3	15.5		97.9	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.3	15.1	13.5	13.5	13.9
NJN	17.2	14.3	16.5	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	81	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	3	8	13.6	15.1	-1.45	15.7	14.4	1.29
Jerome Williams	61	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	4	6	12.2	16.6	-4.38	14.4	17.3	-2.84
Chucky Atkins	67	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.22	18	-4	22	14.9	11.6	3.22	16.0	14.4	1.51
Mikki Moore	15	14	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	4	6	11.2	14.3	-3.14	15.9	15.5	0.40
Jud Buechler	31	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.02	8	6	2	14.9	13.3	1.59	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Billy Owens	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	6	2	13.7	14.1	-0.41	15.9	15.0	0.89
Mateen Cleaves	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	18	-22	11.7	14.8	-3.11	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Eric Montross	45	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	10	-6	15.2	12.7	2.55	16.3	14.7	1.61
Ben Wallace	60	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	7	0	15.3	11.5	3.83	16.0	14.7	1.39
John Wallace	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	15	-16	12.1	14.3	-2.21	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Cedric Ceballos	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	15	-16	15.1	13.6	1.51	13.7	15.8	-2.18

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Soumaila Samake	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	5.5	15.7	-10.22	15.3	13.8	1.52
Kevin Ollie	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-16	18	14.2	16.3	-2.03	13.9	13.8	0.10
Jim McIlvaine	4	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-12	10	13.7	15.6	-1.84	9.8	14.1	-4.28
Evan Eschmeyer	60	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-9	4	15.8	15.1	0.64	14.8	12.5	2.35
Lucious Harris	26	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-7	0	16.1	15.3	0.76	14.0	13.8	0.25
Johnny Newman	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-16	18	14.2	17.8	-3.58	12.9	15.6	-2.62
Stephen Jackson	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	-1	-12	15.8	15.1	0.72	14.6	12.5	2.14
Kenyon Martin	73	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	0	-14	16.2	13.5	2.68	14.0	13.6	0.42
Stephon Marbury	81	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	2	-18	15.6	15.3	0.22	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Aaron Williams	86	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	2	-18	16.1	11.4	4.75	13.6	15.4	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
PHX 108, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
OKC 104, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%