| Win Probability if: | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Game | Time | Score | Shot | Miss | Make | Swing | Result | Play |
| 2004-11-22 | SAS 90 MEM 93 | Q4 1:15 | SAS 85 MEM 85 | 2PT | 0.469 | 0.719 | 0.250 | MAKE | Williams 15' Turnaround Jump Shot |
| 2005-01-29 | ATL 83 MEM 84 | Q4 1:38 | ATL 81 MEM 82 | 2PT | 0.606 | 0.805 | 0.199 | MAKE | Williams 18' Jump Shot |
| 2005-02-16 | MEM 88 BOS 90 | Q4 1:11 | MEM 85 BOS 87 | 3PT | 0.196 | 0.579 | 0.382 | MISS | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot |
| 2005-02-25 | DEN 97 MEM 94 | Q4 0:55 | DEN 88 MEM 89 | 2PT | 0.635 | 0.856 | 0.221 | MAKE | Williams Driving Layup |
| 2005-02-25 | DEN 97 MEM 94 | Q4 0:00 | DEN 91 MEM 91 | 2PT | 0.495 | 0.975 | 0.480 | MISS | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot |
