NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	116		Excitement	8.7 [197]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +47.3%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	1.7 [750]		LVP	Brandin Podziemski (GSW): -12.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.00	21	67%	0.29	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.14	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.15,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	11	47%	0.05	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.00
Ja Morant	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	18	56%	0.10	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.37,0.47	0.47	0.22	0.28	0.02	22	65%	0.49	1	-0.02	13	100%	0.09
Jimmy Butler III	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.09	0.01	20	66%	0.34	2	-0.06	18	67%	-0.02
Moses Moody	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	110%	0.16	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.3	31.5	16.7	34.2	3.4	47.6	164.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +3.0%

GSW +16.9%

MEM -10.2%

GSW +37.1%

GSW +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	15.9	14.4	117.2	123.5	113.1
season	13.3	14.4		116.5	113.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.4	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.6	13.8	14.4	11.7	13.4
GSW	12.5	16.2	16.9	18.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Edey	65	66	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-11	17	13.6	13.0	0.54	16.4	14.7	1.75
Vince Williams Jr.	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	1	-7	15.0	13.3	1.72	14.7	15.9	-1.28
John Konchar	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	13.3	13.4	-0.09	17.0	15.5	1.54
Scotty Pippen Jr.	69	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-9	13	13.8	12.5	1.32	15.5	16.7	-1.15
Luke Kennard	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	8	-21	12.9	13.6	-0.70	16.1	15.7	0.43
Santi Aldama	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	1	-7	13.6	13.2	0.40	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Ja Morant	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-7	9	13.1	14.2	-1.09	15.5	17.0	-1.56
Desmond Bane	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	13.2	14.0	-0.76	16.1	14.8	1.33
Jaren Jackson Jr.	83	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	2	-9	13.3	14.0	-0.73	15.7	16.4	-0.64

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	58	62	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.32	12	-7	19	15.5	16.4	-0.86	14.8	11.0	3.81
Jimmy Butler III	82	83	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	5	-5	15.9	15.6	0.36	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Moses Moody	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-1	7	15.7	16.4	-0.73	13.5	13.1	0.37
Stephen Curry	80	81	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	4	-3	16.0	15.3	0.65	13.1	14.7	-1.57
Buddy Hield	26	26	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-2	9	14.8	16.3	-1.49	12.7	13.6	-0.94
Quinten Post	41	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-7	19	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.9	12.2	2.61
Brandin Podziemski	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	6	-7	15.2	16.9	-1.68	13.3	13.5	-0.13
Gary Payton II	37	39	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.14	1	4	-3	16.2	15.7	0.52	13.6	13.2	0.38
Gui Santos	14	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	7	-9	18.9	15.4	3.49	10.0	13.9	-3.85
Kevon Looney	23	21	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	16	-27	17.3	15.4	1.93	10.0	14.3	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	91.4%
NOH 89, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.96,1	91.2%
SAS 83, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.91,1	91.2%