NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	89		Excitement	6.7 [499]		MVP	Mikki Moore (LAC): +8.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.2 [933]		LVP	Lee Nailon (NOH): -21.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	56%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dan Dickau	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Maciej Lampe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	62%	0.08	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	15	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	7	47%	-0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	7	40%	-0.08	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Lee Nailon	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	0.03	15	48%	-0.10	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	14	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	60%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	5	67%	0.03	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.7	16.0	28.3	2.7	36.0	134.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +51.6%

NOH -13.6%

LAC +1.0%

LAC +14.6%

NOH -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	17.4	14.3	15.5	98.9	102.2	104.0
season	16.5	16.0		97.7	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	22.8	17.0	15.1	15.5	17.4
LAC	13.9	15.0	13.8	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackson Vroman	66	67	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.20	13	-18	31	17.7	16.6	1.08	14.4	14.1	0.31
Casey Jacobsen	51	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-1	-3	16.0	19.2	-3.27	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Maciej Lampe	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	1	-7	23.4	17.0	6.38	14.8	14.3	0.52
David West	13	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	9	-23	18.1	17.3	0.82	12.7	14.5	-1.79
Bostjan Nachbar	33	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	3	-11	16.9	17.6	-0.74	15.1	13.9	1.16
P.J. Brown	85	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.41	1	-6	7	17.0	23.4	-6.38	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Dan Dickau	67	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	17.7	16.4	1.27	14.6	13.5	1.03
J.R. Smith	65	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	17.6	16.9	0.69	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Lee Nailon	65	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.49	-1	-4	3	17.8	16.4	1.41	14.4	13.9	0.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	79	76	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-6	17	14.5	13.2	1.25	17.5	16.6	0.87
Shaun Livingston	63	61	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.51	-1	6	-7	14.4	14.1	0.34	17.5	17.2	0.25
Bobby Simmons	75	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	0	5	14.0	15.8	-1.79	17.3	17.5	-0.19
Marko Jaric	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	14.1	14.9	-0.83	17.3	17.5	-0.20
Mikki Moore	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	-2	9	14.4	14.2	0.12	16.3	18.5	-2.11
Zeljko Rebraca	38	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	6	-7	15.0	13.8	1.23	20.5	14.9	5.62
Rick Brunson	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-2	9	14.6	14.1	0.46	17.6	17.2	0.35
Quinton Ross	36	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	2	1	14.4	14.3	0.09	16.1	18.2	-2.12
Mamadou N'diaye	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	12	-19	12.9	14.6	-1.73	14.1	18.0	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.81,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.91,1	92.0%
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	91.9%
NJN 92, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	91.8%