NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	6.8 [487]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +58.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	4.2 [229]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -29.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.59	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.59	0.13	0.43	-0.03	25	64%	0.65	4	-0.06	9	89%	0.06
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.02	8	90%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Clint Capela	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Huerter	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	59%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Delon Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	14	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.01	12	60%	0.21	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.19	-0.00	0.05	17	76%	0.20	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	92%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.16	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	27	37%	-0.12	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	32.4	15.4	30.4	3.6	37.5	148.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.4%

ATL +0.4%

CLE -4.0%

ATL +22.3%

ATL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	14.5	115.1	107.4	110.8
season	14.6	15.2		114.3	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.5	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	14.4	14.2	16.1	14.9
CLE	14.4	15.6	18.5	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	57	55	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.20	21	-15	36	15.3	14.4	0.85	16.2	15.4	0.86
Delon Wright	42	43	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.05	24	-18	42	13.8	15.8	-2.01	16.1	15.6	0.47
Danilo Gallinari	76	77	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-5	16	15.5	12.5	3.02	16.7	12.2	4.50
Trae Young	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	2	2	14.9	15.4	-0.50	15.5	17.6	-2.12
Bogdan Bogdanovic	56	58	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-3	12	14.4	15.8	-1.41	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Gorgui Dieng	9	11	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	1	4	13.7	15.1	-1.40	17.8	15.6	2.22
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	10	10	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	2	2	12.1	15.3	-3.18	12.1	16.3	-4.21
Kevin Huerter	56	57	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	17	-28	15.1	14.6	0.52	15.8	15.9	-0.05
Clint Capela	26	27	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.20	-21	27	-48	15.2	14.8	0.36	14.6	16.4	-1.78
De'Andre Hunter	56	56	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.04	-16	22	-38	15.2	14.5	0.75	15.4	16.5	-1.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	23	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	2	-10	15.4	16.0	-0.57	12.2	15.8	-3.55
Jarrett Allen	70	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-3	0	15.1	18.2	-3.15	15.8	12.5	3.36
Lauri Markkanen	71	70	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.46	8	-14	22	16.3	14.5	1.83	15.4	13.7	1.70
Caris LeVert	78	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-6	6	15.9	15.6	0.29	15.3	13.3	1.96
Darius Garland	85	83	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-8	10	15.8	16.6	-0.77	15.0	14.8	0.15
Evan Mobley	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.49	3	-9	12	15.8	16.1	-0.36	15.0	14.5	0.49
Isaac Okoro	40	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	8	-22	17.1	14.9	2.24	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Rajon Rondo	30	30	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	12	-30	15.6	16.0	-0.43	13.7	15.5	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.11,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	92.9%
OKC 111, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0	92.6%
LAL 96, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.56,0.47,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0	92.6%